Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   New pace & Firster (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7608)

mikesal57 08-10-2011 07:19 AM

New pace & Firster
 
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I dont know how this firster got a ranking.....but guess what..

He won at $23....

what happened here?

Ted Craven 08-10-2011 10:35 AM

Yikes, I'll take a look at that - would be great if we can duplicate that more often!

Ted

lsosa54 08-10-2011 01:26 PM

Must have closed like a shot in its workouts!

Bill Lyster 08-10-2011 02:00 PM

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Did any one notice that one winner at DMR last weekend (Wild Rose in the 7th on Sunday) was a NP contender off a speed rating from a race in Europe?

Neither of the two stateside races put him in top 5 TE or top four VDC.

Bill

Ted Craven 08-10-2011 02:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster (Post 72745)
Did any one notice that one winner at DMR last weekend (Wild Rose in the 7th on Sunday) was a NP contender off a speed rating from a race in Europe?

Neither of the two stateside races put him in top 5 TE or top four VDC.

Bill

That screenshot shows it as a contender off its last race at Hollywood Park, not Europe (using internal Adjsuted SR, and not TrackMaster SRs from Europe).

Anyway, yes that is one of the advantages at the moment to using the TrackMaster ratings - you get them for pretty much all races. I'll get the Adj SR to compute likewise, given a finish position, beaten lengths and a final time.

Ted

Bill Lyster 08-10-2011 02:10 PM

Correction and clarification
 
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I posted original screen shots using the current version of the New Pace in RDSS 2. When I originally handicapped the race I was using an April version, the screen shot for which is shown here. Note how NEWPACE uses the European speed ratings. The current RDSS2 version uses adjusted speed ratings AND the horse does qualify as one of the Early NP horses.

Interesting either way, but it looked to me like foreign form SRs were higher than California raw SRs



Bill


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