Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Santa Anita Derby

Even though the race is nine furlongs I used 8.5 furlongs for the setup time as that's the most common distance for the pacelines I selected.

For the setup I used the March 12 tandem race at Santa Anita.

This looks stictly like a "watch em' race" to me.

Of the six contenders I think have a shot at winning, five of them have an FW within 0.01 of each other.

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#6 Midnight Interlude figures to have the lead at the second call. However, note this third fraction. It's the weakest of the bunch.

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In summary any of these six horses have a legitimate chance of winning. I'll be watching the race with interest, but won't be betting a dime on the outcome.

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