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Live Play Churchill Mother's Day
Race 1
line 2 / horse 2 ml 3-1 bl/bl 22.5 1 line 3 / horse 3 ml 15 bl/bl 22.3 1 Horse 5 ml 5/2, favorite using lines 1 and 6 both keep it out of being a contender in this race, yet in tandems she has a win againgst others, and has major class drop here, possibly to get a check, as this horse does know how to win. So according to Doc 2 , 3 and 5 now wait for best odds to dutch bet 2 to win right now 20 mtp win bet 2 and 3 Question is this a race I should pass, I think not, if so why, please |
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Race may well have run by the time I post this, but...
Attachment 19684 I agree, 3 and 2 and I'd back the 3 with a Place wager at least. % looks opposite energy, and would make an exacta. I would not pass this race, as the bet-time odds look entirely playable, and the favourite #4 has at least some weaknesses. Let's see! Ted |
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Thanks Ted
Race 2 is a pass a bunch of FTS 2yr olds looking at breeding and trainers and works if had to play it would be the folowing horses 3 and 5 , but as mentioned this is a PASS RACE My snag it doesn't work to well I will need time top fix it and be able to post screen shots |
You have to have a fairly good hit rate to survive on 3/2 shots (net, i.e. bet 2 horses with lower odds at 3-1). Of course in this event, we were hoping for the 18-1. The 3-1 winner was close to a breakeven 'hedge' (with a little something left over for tomorrow). I would probably not bet both a 3-1 and even 4-1 top ranked. Perhaps in some kind of exacta, or trifecta - certainly in a horizontal (DD, P3, P4).
Good luck today Patrick! (I'm gone after this.) Ted |
Race 3
horse 2 seems to be a live ml fav and a horse to beat here 3 and 1 are underneath but way underneath This seems to be a another pass race as the 2 could be a key horse in exotics like pick 3 or dd, but at 7/5 ml I will pass again |
Place your bets
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Hey heads up Race 3 Belmont
Think this one is a horse that follows horses 7 places in a row? |
Race 4
2 and 6 3 and 7 also contenders I will pass this race as no value is here if one was to play , then exacta 26/2367 |
Thanks Bill
This time he won going away, I had him to the 4 and 6 in the exacta, but not the 2 as there no value there, oh well Thanks for the tip off Patrick |
Gotta love
hey Pat Crowd puts over $20,000 on #1 to place
horse wins at 4/5 |
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