The Modern Sartin Methodology...
 

has Divine Park on Top

Morning Charlie.
My look with Bl/Bl,Tpr and Segments screens.
Best of luck/skill!

Great post Guys...this is exactly my delimia presented here..

Pace lines!!

As u can see Charlie used , probably, the horses best lines while Richie used the most recent..My question to Richie is why havent u gone to better lines since these are the top horses on the grounds and should/can produce their top numbers ??

thxs Mike

Morning Mike
When I saw Charlie's cool name for the thread it brought me back to the followups and everything. So I figured to fire up the race and work it how I used to. So there is no raw matching going on. Pretty much best of last 3.

Fwiw what I did do was change the settings to use 100% of the variant instead of the stock 50%. Why? I noticed right away that the 2 ml favs BOTH have lines with VERY high variants (+/- 20 or more). Knowing I'm using adjusted I want to bring those lines closer together with the 100% than what shows with the 50%.

Hey have a great day Mike!

good morn to you too...early bird like me...lol

So u use this same config on all your races?

Is it doing well for you?

thxs mike

No I don't Mike.

For me once variants either + or - 20 or higher show up on key pace lines with horses I make as contenders the flags go up big time. Then it is a matter of looking around at the tools available to possibly help me. The "no variant" and "100% variant" are 2 such tools for example.Passing the race is the other option :)

Mike here is EXACTLY what I did right or wrong. Then let me bow out cause Kianti is breaking my stones here man! :eek:

The first screen shot shows Divine Park in Spec mode with the recommended (rightly so imo) 50% variant. The difference between the top 2 races shows as 13 lengths on TPR (Cpr middle tab).

The 2nd screen shot shows Divine Park in same Spec mode but switching to 100% variant. Now the difference shows as 3 lengths.

Imho there is NO possible way an in form horse runs 2 sharp races within 30 days and one is almost 15 lengths faster than the other. That is what the 50% is showing.

2nd confirming factor is checking the Equibase Speed ratings on top right. They show 116 and 110 for the 2 races. Give or take that's about 2-3 lengths.

It took less than a second once I saw this to trust scenario 2 and go with the 100 here win lose or draw. :)

I've learned to use the program as a tool to help me and not have it use me as a slave to it.

thxs Richie...I'll keep this in mind...

Ooops, should have stated ~ Adjustments are turned off

The line(s) are selected via the projected pace and preference is towards those closest to the distance being run

Hope this helps

I should also state i am little worried about Divine Park's #2 line, overall time seems very quick to me