Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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Tim Y 08-07-2008 02:25 PM

To the early goes the spoils
 
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1st race - Woodbine - August 07, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
3 Loula 17.20 5.70 2.50
4 Six Jiggles 3.30 2.40
5 Izkra 2.10

$2 Triactor 3-4-5 115.00
$2 Exactor 3-4 76.80
This track continues to rank as a haven of longer prices: one of the reasons it has become my main track. And look how obvious it continues to be.

Tim Y 08-07-2008 02:45 PM

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top two to 2nd call run as top two in second. The FIX is in there today in Toronto.
Ran 1-5-6-7 with a $45.00 exacta so get while the gettings good.

2nd race - Woodbine - August 07, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
1 Indian Arm 8.80 5.30 4.80
5 King's Missile 5.50 3.70
6 Point Advanced 4.60

$2 Triactor 1-5-6 192.90
$2 Daily Double 3-1 78.00
$2 Exactor 1-5 45.60

Tim Y 08-07-2008 03:10 PM

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Bet the bias before it goes away, at 17-1 the 2 won the 2nd as another top two 2nd call horse wins.
and the other runs 2nd
3rd race - Woodbine - August 07, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
2 On Maternity Leave 36.80 14.00 4.50
3 Larry's Getaway 5.30 3.50
6 Vinnie's Lad 3.80

$2 Triactor 2-3-6 818.50
$2 Exactor 2-3 139.30
$1 Pick 3 3-1-2 (3 correct) 494.95

Tim Y 08-07-2008 03:37 PM

4th goes to the top 2nd call again; the 1 entry

Tim Y 08-07-2008 04:11 PM

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2nd call horse get the 5th as well at 4/1

When the BIAS is on, it is like nothing else. Before you ask, the 4th line back on the winner was the only recent route.

Tim Y 08-07-2008 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tim Y (Post 37250)
2nd call horse get the 5th as well at 4/1

When the BIAS is on, it is like nothing else. Before you ask, the 4th line back on the winner was the only recent route.

it was the only NON-route.

Tim Y 08-07-2008 04:42 PM

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Sneaky Patrol 7/1 as the bias continues. This is a banner day to bet no brainers.

This being a maiden it is an automatic 2nd call bet on the top two 2n cl leaders.

Tim Y 08-07-2008 05:32 PM

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Even at Sartoga when the race goes from turf to dirt, look for the speed dirt ones. The ones that have clean silks as they were never behind a spray of mud

7th race - Saratoga - August 07, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
8 Seasons Wise 13.80 5.90 3.30
6 Dose of Reality 3.70 2.40
5 Zip by You 2.50

mikesal57 08-07-2008 07:15 PM

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Hi Tim...good going again with those 2nd calls

I was trying to figure out for the longest how to get your results in RDSS..check this to see if its like yours.

I used to best TPR value from the last 3 races for each horse...Is this OK too?

Is the F2 screen the results?

thxs mike

Ted Craven 08-07-2008 07:43 PM

Mike,

The screen you posted is the same screen as the one Tim posted. The RDSS Segments screen, left-hand side, is the Computed Beaten Lengths screen (CBL) from Speculator, and the right-hand side is the Match Up screen from Speculator. With the same pacelines selected, the readouts should be (almost) identical. RDSS though, is sorted (so far) by CBL Final, while Speculator is sorted by Program number then pacelines number.

Ted


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