0814/Spa & Dmr Win Bets
 

continuing with my attempts at modeling. I am gonna bet these:

Saratoga:
Race 6 - # 3 and # 2

Race 7 - # 1a and # 2


Dmr:
Race 1- # 7 and # 10

Race 2 - # 2 and # 1

Bet- $ 16.00
Ret- ??

Richie

Late change Sar race 7
 

Race 7 the # 2 is a late scratch.

adding the # 5 in his place

Race 7- # 1a and # 5

Richie

Results
 

Sar
Race 6- loss
Race 7- loss

Dmr
Race 1- loss
race 2- loss

not close on any
bet- 16.00
ret- 0


Betting off models:
3 day totals ( including 0807 posted here)
bet- 60
ret- 61.20

Going no where fast so far. Stay safe
Richie

Richie -

I'm curious if you think the Model took you off any of the winners?

P3

Good morning Jeff,
First off ALL decisions and interpretation of what I see is on me ok? Your help in getting a complete excel sheet set up is greatly appreciated man!

Ok to answer your question: Yes and No.

First off there is NO way I get that 31 dollar horse Saturday WITHOUT the model. for ME no way.

last Sunday there is no way I miss that 40 dollar bomb that I didnt have cause I followed religiously what I interpreted I saw on my sheet.

Yesterday the 17.00 winner at Sar ( race6) and the 9.00 winner of Dmr race 1 were right there both having all positive feedback based on the distance of the race

All in all this is a great learning experience for me. For real. The fact that I am even after 3 days is pretty cool considering the foul ups I have made.

BTW I posted my return as $61.20 It is actually $ 60.20 so overall I am up 20 CENTS :)

Everything is a give and take we do EVERYTHING

key is to find ONE process that is comfortable for ME and stick with it.

Another thing is controlling emotions while wagering. I went to meadowlands last Monday to wager Philly. I really feel strong about the 1 horse in say the 5th or 6th race
I mean his readouts are strong etc I bet him good to win
he goes off 56/1 and gets beat a nose at the wire I mean a freakin nose.
I collect nothing

I got so pissed I closed my computer and stopped wagering guess what? 2 races later 9.80 winner right on top and the last race a 31 dollar winner that the only way u could miss was doing what I had done and stopped betting

anyway I have rambled on enough Jeff

.

Richie

oh man.... this game is so mental sometimes...I am pretty fragile in that department too...

Just so you know the $40 Tucked horse came up 3rd according to what i saw from the model and was my designated place horse.. at 19-1 deserved some thought... when I looked back at that race having eliminated the "Girl" horse after a long layoff would have been easier to do ...lol

Richie - you need to go back out there man ... you seem to be in a zone ...