Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Sa 3/30 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2143)

JimG 03-30-2007 04:58 PM

Sa 3/30
 
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Race 6....Here is my BL/BL on this race. For me the plays are the 3 and 7 to win. The 6 is strong late and should be thrown in for exotics.

JimG 03-30-2007 05:07 PM

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Race 7 below. A tough race on the downhill turf course. I do not like horses that are off slow on the inside so I am downgrading the 1 a little although he has huge late numbers for the race and should be included in exotics. My win plays here are the 5 and 10.

Dumptruk 03-30-2007 06:18 PM

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Race 7 SA

I think the 2 Rockn USA will be tough here. Only one other bonafide speed in here and he's coming off a long layoff.

admin 03-30-2007 06:59 PM

Hill and Dale
 
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wild line selection

I will agree with you guys
win bets # 2 and 10

JimG 03-30-2007 07:45 PM

No joy in race 6 but the 10 does win in the 7th race and pay $12.60 cash money.:D

admin 03-30-2007 08:00 PM

I'll take it
 
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Thanks Jim

I have not done a Hill race for a while
$12.00 :)

shoeless 03-30-2007 08:12 PM

Bill,Please explain how did you come up with the 2&10?Jeff

admin 03-30-2007 08:44 PM

2 and 10
 
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Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless (Post 17226)
Bill,Please explain how did you come up with the 2&10?Jeff

Hello Jeff
I did the race very quickly because i wanted to join in before the race went off

here are the APV and CR

Code:


1.  102.5%      2.64
2.  107.4%      3.14
3.  38.0%        0.72  out
4.  132.6%        2.60
5.  74.7%          3.54  OUT
6.  93.4%          2.85
7.  95.5%          4.25
8.  88.0%        1.96  0ut
9    56.7%        3.10 Out
10.  84.6          1.74

Because I rushed I left out the 6
when I was setting up the screen shots I saw this
thia is why the BLBL is slightly different

I eliminated the 3 5 8 and 9 because of the low apv
I ignored the CR becuse a few horses never ran on the turf let alone down a hill

Then I just took the best speed rating of the last 3

I hide the 4 who was 6th on TE and PLS
and this is the BLBL

admin 03-30-2007 08:47 PM

Hill
 
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I went to the Engen and saw the 70 med energy on the one so it was out

Since it was a turf race I looked for the best Late Energy Potental
lep and Hidden energy
I saw the Lightly raced # 7 on top with the long layoff
and went with the 2 and 10

shoeless 03-30-2007 09:36 PM

Bill.Thanks for explaining and good job.Jeff


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