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-   -   "Live" - Lone E / Marathon distance (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2094)

RichieP 03-19-2007 08:50 AM

"Live" - Lone E / Marathon distance
 
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Here is a screenshot for today's 7th at Gp to be run at 12f on the grass.

There is a Lone Early who also qualifies under my spot play #4. That's why I am posting this one.

The yellow box on the Lone Early #2 represents the Mile time for everyone to shoot at.

The red boxes around the final times of the 4 and 5 show where we need to subtract 6.4(tenths as shown here) to get to their respective mile times.

Then it becomes strictly a POSITIONAL issue which lands me on the 2.

I will wager at 3/2 odds or higher at 3 mtp and pass if odds are lower.

Richie

froggy 03-19-2007 12:02 PM

Richie

I did this race with SPEC160 and came up with the 4, 7 doing the hides from BL/BL. When the hides are done in Perceptor I you get the same answer. But when the hides are done with Perceptor II then you get the 2, 7.

WHY?

Froggy

froggy 03-19-2007 12:19 PM

Richie

The first Race at the Gulf was won by #1, the horse that was first in Perceptor II.
Does this reading represent the lone early.
I am still having trouble identifying the lone early using SPEC160.
If that is at all possible.

Froggy

RichieP 03-19-2007 01:51 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by froggy (Post 16756)
Richie

I did this race with SPEC160 and came up with the 4, 7 doing the hides from BL/BL. When the hides are done in Perceptor I you get the same answer. But when the hides are done with Perceptor II then you get the 2, 7.

WHY?

Froggy

Hi Froggy,
Ok I really don't have a handle on that Perceptor-2 read. Someone here hopefully will explain it.

Just for clarity my look at the race above was from evaluating RAW data using ONLY that screen shown ok?

Now that I have made my decision here is what those same lines look like on the ADJUSTED bl/bl screen.

To be HONEST the 2 has almost NO shot at the win looking at the screen and that is NOT even putting the rest of the filed in man. Most telling is the E/L read

I have "boxed" some readouts showing what I mean by the above statement Froggy.

stay cool
Richie:)

froggy 03-19-2007 02:49 PM

Richie

I used my home made Phase III/Energy and then made a compu-graph and came up with a score of 300, ie no play.

froggy 03-19-2007 02:51 PM

Richie

I used my home made Phase/Energy program and with the compugraph the score is 300,ie no play.

Froggy

froggy 03-19-2007 03:06 PM

Richie
You used line 3 for the#2. I used line 2 as it came up with Perceptor as the line to use.
#2 went wire to wire for $4.20 still no play.

RichieP 03-19-2007 03:06 PM

Result
 
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The 2 unfortunately was too low oddswise to wager on for ME.

He wins EASILY.

The Hat just woulda "put him in a dang pick 3 Rich and get something outa him! If you bet anyone else besides him you LOSE right?."

IF he had been bettable odds I would have double bet him as he hits TWO of my spot plays

Spot play #1
Spot play #4

THAT is what caused me to post in the first place.

ok
Richie


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