Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   CBY p5 6/10/20 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13037)

rdiam 06-10-2020 07:19 PM

CBY p5 6/10/20
 
CBY p5 6/10/20: takeout only 10%, everyone should try to give this track some business:

Horses before the "/" are main WIN contenders (A's), horses after the "/" are backup WIN contenders (Bs).

Chalky = likely to be won by top 2-3 tote favorites
Predictable = tote likely to accurately reflect win probabilities
Wide Open = likely to be won by horse NOT top 2-3 tote favorites
Chaos = lots of FTS, first at route, first on grass, etc...lots of unknowns

r4: 3-5-6/2-7: wide open, 6 will try to wire, 7 will press, 5 closes

r5: 1-3-11/2-8-9: chaos, 8 will try to wire, 2 will close and has been working well, 3 ridden by top jockey, 9 has decent pedigree as FTS

r6: 4-5-6/7-8: chaos, 4 needs the lead and will try to wire, 5 shows nice workout pattern, 6 ridden by top jockey, 8 will press the pace and 7 will close

r7: 2-3-6/7: wide open, lots of early speed may set up for 3 to close, 6 needs to control early pace, 2 ridden by top jockey

r8: 4-5-8/3-9: chaos, 4 needs the lead and may try to steal on front, has top trainer/jockey combo, will be battling the 5 who also needs the lead, might set up for 8 to close with another top trainer/jockey combo, 9 will also be closing

Tough sequence, but should be decent payout if hit it

Good luck

Richard

rdiam 06-10-2020 10:23 PM

Results:

5 Races

3 A's: 5.80, 17.00, 6.00
2 outright misses: 16.60, 30.40

By the way, $0.50 p5 pays $9,223.15...the power of a 10% takeout
Not my night to collect

Richard

Mitch44 06-11-2020 09:18 AM

You got to be in it to win it. You'll snag it one day soon Richard.


Mitch44

mick 06-11-2020 12:02 PM

Richard is an accomplished Pick 5 player.


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