Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   SAR 8/10/19 Full Card (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12473)

rdiam 08-10-2019 12:40 PM

SAR 8/10/19 Full Card
 
SAR 8/10/19 Full Card:

r1: 2-5-6, LS 8: the 8 runs early, the 2 runs late

r2: 9-6-7, LS 2: the 2 runs early, the 6 runs late

r3: 7-8-4, LS 10: babies on the turf, look for a price if 7 can't do it

r4: 8-5-10, LS 3: should be some decent value

r5: 2-8-3, LS 5: chaos race, all baby FTS, going for value

r6: 4-5-7, LS 1: 7 needs the lead, 4 will benefit if early pace too fast

r7: 2-8-6, LS 3: chaos race, all but one baby FTS

r8: 3-5-8, LS 7: rebate syndicates likely to pound the 3, 7 will be closing

r9: 4-3-9, LS 5: top 2 likely to be chalky

r10: 3-8-4, LS 6: 3 needs an early lead

r11: 5-7-3, LS 9: early pace will be fast, 5 may pick up the pieces late

Going for price today with competitive and chaos races.

Good luck.

Richard

Bill V. 08-10-2019 01:05 PM

Nice start
 
Nice start Richard

Race 1 the 5 and 2 ran them down

rdiam 08-10-2019 04:42 PM

Revised r7: 2-7-8, LS 3:

rdiam 08-10-2019 07:55 PM

Results:

11 races

3 #1s: 4.50, 6.60, 5.10
3 #2s: 7.00, 8.60, 3.20,
2 #3s: 7.90, 5.20
1 LS; 11.80
2 Outright misses: 6.10, 12.00

3 $1 ex: 11.90, 32.50, 36.00
6 $1 DDs: 18.70, 10.20, 10.30, 10.70, 5.00, 22.40
3 $1 p3s: 36.75, 33.50, 25.00

Hard to make $ when only 2 horses pay more than $10

Richard

Mitch44 08-10-2019 09:09 PM

73% top 3 is good, we can't control the prices.


Mitch44

Dorianmode 08-11-2019 10:29 AM

Race 9 was such a great race for a turf race person.
My profiles and my own CSR all pointed to 4 and 6.
My raw CSR pointed to the 6, and all my pinhead profiles, pointed to 4.
1 and 2. This is why racing is fun. :)


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