Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Brohamer Model Question (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11564)

papajohn3times 03-19-2018 10:14 AM

Brohamer Model Question
 
When you do a Brohamer type model,do you include races where you lost?

Papa John

Ted Craven 03-19-2018 11:00 AM

Include every race you play, or types of races you intend to play.

That way, you know stuff about your kinds of races: what works, what doesn't work, and all points in between.

Ted

Bill V. 03-19-2018 11:02 AM

Hello
 
Hi Papa

Thanks for revisiting this thread. I have 2 spreadsheets
One has 1174 races, with over 180000 pacelines.

I gathered this data for about 4 months.
This data consists of every type of race . All I did got most of this four month period was gather data.

About a month ago I realized I really could not get anything more from a large set of races,
Especially since most of the races were not handicapped,
I was just gathering info from pace lines and races I would never have choose.


My new spreadsheet only comes from races I actually BET
win or lose, if I actually BET a non maiden race and I made all pace line and contender selection Then I added those races to my new spreadsheet

Lt1 03-19-2018 11:25 AM

I don't include them in my models but I do go back and look to see if I missed something in my handicapping. If I am doing a 20 race cycle I do include races I lost. This in my opinion is a far better way to see how you are doing with your handicapping.
Tim

Lt1 03-20-2018 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 114953)
I don't include them in my models but I do go back and look to see if I missed something in my handicapping. If I am doing a 20 race cycle I do include races I lost. This in my opinion is a far better way to see how you are doing with your handicapping.
Tim

Let me clarify this. If I lost the race but the winner was in my contenders then I record those figures. If the winner was not in my contenders
I don't enter the race.
Tim


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