Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - Day 32 DMR feature race Race 5 8.0 Turf 3YO F

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Day 32 DMR feature race Race 5 8.0 Turf 3YO F

Race 7 is probably the feature race but it's only a 6 horse field

I have decided today to stay on the turf and at a route
So Today I will post race 5
It's an open claimer for $50,000 for 3-year-old fillies

Today's race is dedicated to Mitch
Welcome back Sir,

Thank You for your service -USA

https://youtu.be/hSmUOj_CnrQ

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Horse 1. Simmy Temple Sust. Moves up after a loss at 40 where she was claimed, Best TPRs are 174's Line 2 from GG looks overly adjusted at 178. I will rate line 1 but consider line 2 as a tie breaker

Horse 2 Spinyatta Presser Just broke her maiden. Has never routed or run on the turf except for her first race down the hill at SA Unknown

Horse 3 Red Livy Early. Another horse with just her maiden win, Her only turf route line only gets a 162 TPR because of a weak 3rd fraction
No usable paceline

Horse 4 Looking At Thelake SP Best TPRs are near 172 Line 3 shows a 177 only 60 days ago
I expect something in between today
Line 2 or 3 Line 1 put her in the barn for a 29-day rest.

Horse 5 Tammy's Window Sustained
Only has her maiden win Line 3 is a + race at
SA against Open 50's Same class as today
89 days ago Strong ITM looker Comes back in 7 days

Horse 6. Candy Swirls Early Only 1 win, has never run a turf route line 1 on the main track at 1 mile is horible

Horse 7 Zuzanna Presser Always runs + races
Line 1 is a win line against CL40000 and she was claimed from that race Comes back fresh
Strong contender ML favorite

Horse 8. War Moccasin Sustained 2 wins Seems to run a good race than a bad race than good pattern line 1 is a dud But she was probably outclassed against $75OC's
Line 2 is solid. with a strong 176 TPR
Strong contender

Horse 9 Ragazza Di Vola Presser Nothing to see here Only 1 win and comes into the race on a 6 race skid without a plus race against easier comp. Come back in 7 days (Scratched)

Contenders 7 8 1 4

Depending on odds :8: will be Bet#1
not sure about the :1: :4: or :7: for the win

Standard approach. Too many unknowns. Discard the unknowns. Five contenders 1,4,5,7,8. After selected pace lines BLBL lands me on the 1,8.

1,8
Pook

Contenders 7-8-1-4-5. 3mins to post top2 both 2-1 will pass.
Tim

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 111527)

Contenders 7-8-1-4-5. 3mins to post top2 both 2-1 will pass.
Tim

Me too both 8 and 7 are under 2/1

We all were right on with the 7 and 8 but there was no value

The 7 wins

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