Parx race 9 4/10/17
 

This is a tough one for me

I come up with the 3 and 10
I would love to see how you guys do
It looks like a good betting race with a 3/1 ML fav


Race 9 CL 7500 N3-L 3+F

Top 5 TPR line1. 3,10,9,5,6

Fulcrum POR EPR 92 (horse 3 )

Notes ...

Horse 1 . Hail To Rocknroll 2/42 Sustained Current form running style and lifetime record say to look elsewhere

Horse 2 , Kwik E, Presser line 2 Line 1 is a (+) Line 2 is its CL7500 2L win line

Horse 3, Whirlybird Early, Line 1 is a + line It is a win line wire to wire
against cl7500N2-L Comment says "bumped" so ratnngs might be better
with a clean trip Contender Today is a new form cycle .

Horse 4. Elita Sustained ( sprinting) Looks to be in trouble early against a 91 EPR
fulcrum

Horse 5 Hazty Daisy Early Only has 1 win so it skips the N2L condition
Line 1 is 99 days ago Form and class issues (if she runs?)

Horse 6 Bohemin Bliss Early Seems a step slow against todays fulcrum
Line 1 is a + paceline

Horse 7. House Red 2/38 Sustained Line 1 and 4 mirror each other in TPR I will use
line 4 becaue line 1 varient is 25 Booth lines are +lines

Horse 8 Miss Steffi No form. Ships from GP I know line 1 is not going o cut it
so what do I do , trust my numbers no line

Horse 9 Julies Indy 2/56 Sustained. She comes out of the same race as horse 7
she beat the 7 but this looks like the race of her life and on a slow track too
Line 1

Horse 10 Edfitatmahle's bar Presser Just won against CL7500 N2L on a sly 5.5 track Line 1


TPR Phase 1


Attachment 43213



Attachment 43202

horse
 

1, 2 3 4

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Attachment 43206

horse
 

5 6 7

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horse 8 9 10
 

rest

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Hasy
 

Horse 5 is scratched

Contenders: 2 Kwik E - line 2
3 Whirly - line 1
6 Bohemian - line 2
10 Edfit - line 1

Using Energy ...Total Energy difference between contenders is more than 2.0,so I used 2 Adjustment...

My odds line:
3 Even
2 - 5/2
10 -4/1
6 - 5/1

I am going with the 3 and 2.

Interesting race Bill. My contenders are 2-3-6-7-10
#2 L3 ONLY 2-19 LT but 2-4 this yr with a 2nd switches to apprentice trainer 1-1 with rider.
#3 L1 WON Last matching lt best peaked?
#6 L2 Comes off 51 day l/o has run well before off l/o. NTL type expect pressure from 3.
#7 L4 Finished 3rd this level last, 2-38 lt no wins last 10 starts.
#10 L2 Won last in slop moves up te and sr #s going up. Trainer 24% with horses who won last.
I look for 3 &6 to battle on the front end with the 2,7 and 10 in the 2nd flight. I believe 3 may have peaked and 6 may need this so I'll go 2-10-6-3-7. Would add the 4 for tri & super players.
Tim G

Prxr9
 

I get the 2-3-6-10-7 in that order.
I used the lines picked by computer best of last 3
Rmath

Good luck to all.

3-4-2 small wager. Tough race
Mitch44

bet 20 each on #3 and #2 ,playing at 5/1 and 9/2 odds...2 min.to post