Practice race SA race 5 8.5 3/10/16
 

Post time is 3;00 pst

Please help me out , Lets win this one


Step 1 Top 5 TPR Line 1
6 5 2 8 1

Step 2 Fulcrum horse
#6 90 ( 110.8 )

Step 3 Running styles

Horse 1 Sus Line 2 sprinter
Horse 2 EP 1
Horse 3 Press Line 1
Horse 4 SP line 2
Horse 5 Press line 3
Horse 6 EP Line 1
Horse 7 Early line 1, turf lines
Horse 8 Sus line 1


Step 4 Who has the top EPR
The 6 has the best EPR 90
Early Presser
Wire to wire
No because of the 1 being a sprinter and 7 turf only

Step 5 rate the lines make your decisions
Now will the 5 with a 87 LPR
be able to get there ? .

The top TPR horses
They are 5 4 and 6
Top 3 VDC = 5 2 6

My bets 5 and 4
8 may be too far back with only a 80.5 EPR

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horse
 

1 2 3 4

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horse
 

5 6 7 8

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Hi Bill,

I set a 22.7/45.8/110.8 from the 6.
The 7 the turf horse is scratched.
The 1 is a sprinter alright, but not a positionally early horse.
Therefore I think the 6 could wire. The only early type with the fastest splits.
Of the remaining the 5 is all that is left that can handle the pace of the 6.
Track profile says early of which the 4 is a part of but his fractions
pale in comparison to what I expect from the 6.

I would bet 5,6

Pook

Of course only if the odds are right. With the 7 out, the 6 will probably be bet out of range. The 5 might be okay. But I guess the purpose here is to just pick winners.

Pook

Anyways no matter who wins the race, your workup and layout above is clear, and explains the principles you are trying to get across very well.

Appreciate the effort and enthusiasm.

Pook

I hope it's okay that I am doing matchup stuff in your TPR area? I do look at TPR's etc. when I am matching.

Pook

Same trainer of Toledo Eddie
 

The trainer of the possible early pace horse of today's race was the same trainer of Toledo Eddie a week earlier with the same early energy distribution.

I'm referring to #6 Mr. Cartagena

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My question will be "Did the last race take too much; chasing the fast pace that Mr. Cartagena might react today?" Did it ran this effort before?? The other highlighted line shows a similar effort as the last paceline.

Looking at the Energy screen at the First Call; we see that it has a big advantage in today's match-up even with the sprinter in the race.

My $0.02 opinion will be #6 Mr.Cartagena with #8 Northern Iowa and #5 Derby Glass giving a vain chase.

Good skills;)

pp of Mr Cartagena

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My Lines are :
1. L 4
2. L 2
3. L 2
4. L 2
5. L 3
6. L 2
7. SCR.
8. L 2
My contenders are: 5-6-4-1-3 note: 1 & 3 are only for ex. or tri.
My top 3 are 5-6-4 in that order
Best of luck,
Mitch44