Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   2015 Matchup Challenge (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=142)
-   -   Matchup Challenge May 23/24 by Pete C (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10149)

The Pook 05-20-2015 07:39 PM

Matchup Challenge May 23/24 by Pete C
 
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Pete

PeteC 05-21-2015 05:59 PM

Saturday at Arlington
 
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Let's take a shot at the opener on the Saturday card at Arlington....

PeteC 05-22-2015 03:43 PM

Sunday
 
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....And the 6th race at Golden Gate on Sunday...

khannamark 05-22-2015 05:17 PM

Late entrant
 
HI,
I am interested in trying this competition even though I am late. I would be competing for the fun of it.So, if its ok by you all I will start with Saturdays 1st at AP.
I see #6 Chatito's top paceline eliminating earlies #2,7,8, but the 6 may not get the open 1 length lead that he needs to win. Reluctantly I shift to pressers.
Among the pressers #1 looks to be out of form,#3 looks to be slow,leaving me with the 4 and 5.
If I redo the race using only turf and artificial pacelines I get the 5 as the only one moving on the 6. Also the 5 has a win off 21.3 44.3
So my choice is the 5.`

The Pook 05-22-2015 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by khannamark (Post 100210)
HI,
I am interested in trying this competition even though I am late. I would be competing for the fun of it.So, if its ok by you all I will start with Saturdays 1st at AP.
I see #6 Chatito's top paceline eliminating earlies #2,7,8, but the 6 may not get the open 1 length lead that he needs to win. Reluctantly I shift to pressers.
Among the pressers #1 looks to be out of form,#3 looks to be slow,leaving me with the 4 and 5.
If I redo the race using only turf and artificial pacelines I get the 5 as the only one moving on the 6. Also the 5 has a win off 21.3 44.3
So my choice is the 5.`

Hey welcome to our group man. Lots of time, not too late. Nice matchup thinking too. Good luck and have fun!

Pook

KBROD 05-22-2015 05:28 PM

arlington.....ill be on a speed and a closer here win plays......#4......#8

The Pook 05-22-2015 06:07 PM

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Saturday

KBROD 05-22-2015 06:44 PM

golden gate.......will have hot pace to run at from rail...hot connections,likes track and distance #1 just after sunset

cigar 05-22-2015 10:07 PM

Ap r1
 
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Speed group get eliminated - OTE Win

GeorgeC5614 05-23-2015 01:41 AM

5/23/2105 Race 1 Arlington Park

Projected pace 21.8 44.8 also FPLR from the 6 horse

The 1 and 3 are just slow horses and I threw them out. The 2 I eliminated because I think he is an early horse that will not get the lead.

There are three comparable earlies the 6, 7 and 8, and I believe they will eliminate each other. The 8 has won with a faster 2nd call time, but it looks like he needs to have at least a 2 length lead to wire the field, and will not have that. This race should run OTE which leaves just the 4 and 5 as contenders.

Four races back the 5 ran against this pace, and won. His last race was the first time at the track, and the two before that were a bit slower. The 4 hasn't run to this pace yet, but looks like he will be ahead of the 5 when the leaders tire.

My picks are the 4 and the 5


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