Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   2016 Match4Cash Challenges (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=147)
-   -   M4$16/2 Aug 20-Pat C. (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10541)

The Pook 08-20-2016 02:33 PM

WO4

Since you have to wager on a minimum of ten races you have to push yourself into less than ideal situations. This is one for me, but I think I have a reasonable chance for a score.

No reliable early to grab onto. No reliable FPLR. No usable tandem scenarios.

Will narrow field using conditions.
a) In the last year #6 to #9 are winners of the 1 OT condition. #7,#8,#9 are three year olds. #6 is older but still in the 1 OT condition.
b) #1 to #5 are older horses winning in tougher conditions since Aug 2015 (except #3)

In #1 to #5’s races showing
a) #1 has never appeared in a Graded race
b) #2 has never appeared in a Graded race
c) #3 has appeared in three Graded races and was semi-competitive in his last one
d) #4 has appeared in two Graded races and was not competitive
e) #5 has appeared in four Graded races and was competitive in all four

Adjusted speed ratings of best of the last three races are tightly bunched. It may come down to who they have been running against.

#3 has good works
#5 won his last

#3 and #5 are my horses. Odds are 14-1and 5-1.

#3,#5 to WIN; #3 to PLACE
Pook

The Pook 08-20-2016 02:41 PM

Congratulations Mick and cigar! Thats three nice prices in a row hit by the M4$ boys.

Pook

mick 08-20-2016 09:03 PM

Thanks, Pook. I enjoyed reading your analysis.

mick

cigar 08-21-2016 12:18 PM

Thanks
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by The Pook (Post 105286)
Congratulations Mick and cigar! Thats three nice prices in a row hit by the M4$ boys.

Pook

Is any one playing WO today? let me know your taught on race 6. #9 to steal.

The Pook 08-22-2016 01:47 PM

1 Attachment(s)
The Chart


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:47 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.