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-   -   PlaceTo Be Live Sat.July 7 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11703)

Bill V. 07-07-2018 01:29 PM

PlaceTo Be Live Sat.July 7
 
1 Attachment(s)
Nomorebocci's Birthday

7/7/33 - Dec 10 2016


I will start off with the ML favorite horse 4
:" may the 4 horse be with you"

Solid 2nd in the debut

The only runner with experience

Good workouts - Pletcher

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 01:55 PM

There is a fine line
 
Just could not hold on a finished 3rd
"it's always the 4 horse"
:)

Bill

Bill V. 07-07-2018 02:17 PM

Horses
 
Crazy turf race at Mth race 4

Look at these lifetime records for this 16,000 claimer

Horse 2 1for20
Horse 3 1for52!
Horse 4 1for4
Horse 5 scra
Horse 6 1-19
Horse 7 1-11
Horse 8 1-19
Horse 9 1-11
Horse 10 1-5
Horse 11 Scr
Horse 12 1-21



Horse 1 scratch
Horse 2 No Line No recent turf races 30/1 ML 1-20
Horse 3 No Line No recent turf Plus races 30/1 ML
Horse 4 No recent + races I will rate him off line 1 - 3 year old
Horse 5 Scratch
Horse 6 Line 1 He maade a move between the 2nd and 3rd fraction to get within .5 lenghths of the leader (+)
Horse 7 Line 1 + turf race
Horse 8 No excuse in last race I wil just rate off line 3 a + race
Horse 9 Line 1 is (+) to make a move in the stretch to get to 2.5 back, That is enough to get a rating
Horse 10 No line Maiden winner with no turf races
Horse 11 Scratch
Horse 12 No recent turf + races 20/1

Horse 8 is the betting favorite

I will pass

Bill V. 07-07-2018 02:24 PM

8
 
1 Attachment(s)
The 8 holds off the hanging 7 but there is an objection


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Bill V. 07-07-2018 02:29 PM

left
 
They left the result up

8 7 9 4

Top 2 horses are the exacta

the 8 pays $2.60 to place

Bill V. 07-07-2018 02:56 PM

took the win
 
2 Attachment(s)
I took the win in this one

I used the 7-furlong race because i7 or 8 furlongs are both 1 turn at Belmont

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 03:31 PM

Jumping around
 
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Sorry i'm getting these in late
Dad and I are playing tickets at Mth and Parx and Woodbine
Race 4 at Belmont

I took the solid favorite # 5 Red Knight

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:08 PM

Nada at Los Al
 
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I'm passing the big Favorite at Los Al race 1

No comparable recent plus pacelines

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:09 PM

Woodbine Race 7
 
i am alive in the pick 3 at Woodbine
to the 2,3,5,7,8, I need a win and a price $

Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:11 PM

El Paso
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 116269)
I'm passing the big Favorite at Los Al race 1

No comparable recent plus pacelines

Attachment 46462

The 5 wins from here to New Mexico
at 1/5

Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:36 PM

Hit
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 116270)
i am alive in the pick 3 at Woodbine
to the 2,3,5,7,8, I need a win and a price $

The 3 takes leg 3 of the pick 3

$20.00 X 3 =$60 :)


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Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:38 PM

El paso in the Dywer
 
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Bel Race 6
No comparable recent lines

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 04:46 PM

good move
 
Finished 3rd :)

tleusin 07-07-2018 04:55 PM

Bill -are you working Belmont 7? If so how are you handling #4 Shaft of Light? The CT race is comparable distance but would be two turns on a bullring. Are you simply making him a non-contender?

Thanks Thomas

raceman5 07-07-2018 05:07 PM

Belmont
 
Race 7. 2-6


bob

Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:12 PM

Horse 2
 
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Race 7 Belmont

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:19 PM

Bah
 
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Inquiry with the 2 and 4

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:20 PM

Horse 2 Whitmore olaces but might get DQed
 
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Leave em up!


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Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:24 PM

okay
 
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And leg 1 of the pick 4 is in

Thank you :)

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tleusin 07-07-2018 05:28 PM

Thanks again, Bill. Personally thought Whitmore should have been DQed but am very happy for you that he was not.

Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:29 PM

Race 4 Los Al
 
1 Attachment(s)
Nothing doing in race 4 at Los Al

Sprinter stretching out at 2/1

El Paso

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:34 PM

Good Move
 
The 3 folds up and finishes 4th :)

raceman5 07-07-2018 05:38 PM

Los Al
 
Race 4 #4

Bob

raceman5 07-07-2018 05:41 PM

Los AL
 
Race 6

hoping the 1-2-4 get in a torrid speed dual and set it up for the 3-5

Pick. 3-5


Bob

Bill V. 07-07-2018 05:55 PM

Hi Bob
 
2 Attachment(s)
Good Skill to you !!


I will take horse 2 at LRL in the feature Stormy Blues Stakes

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 06:01 PM

Miss mayhem
 
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Wins again


Cool beans

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Bill V. 07-07-2018 06:22 PM

NYRA Race 9
 
I have Hoppertunity in the pick 4 along with the 4 horse

in the feature

gandalf380 07-11-2018 10:57 AM

Bill, I was looking thru issue 25 of the Follow-up and came across the following quote:


"I am reminded of the story of the renowned "Chicago" O'Brien, a handicapper from the 1930's to 1950. He earned a documented ten million dollars from racehorse wagering. O'Brien's formula was: "Figure them to win, BET them to place".

It appears you are in good company and on solid footing with your betting.

Bill V. 07-12-2018 12:38 PM

That is so appropriate
 
Hello Charlie

100% what I am looking for. I started to notice this when I was playing parlay tickets at Santa Anita. I was part of a group so we had so big tickets going.
I am mostly a listener in groups, I started to make notes about what was offered while we were constructing tickets,

It seemed that when the feeling about selections was
"He is a lock" and "He will win but not pay much" Those types never let us down to just at least show - We generally played wps or ps.

The ones that killed us were the " he should get up" types

Since I started my "place to be" exercise I have focused mainly on the morning line favorites, If they 100% fit FTL's guidelines and are bet below their morning line, they are my bets. I am betting on winners that happen to place.

It is working so well, and it helps me focus when I wagercap and decide
to "hide" the favorite :) in my normal betting.


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