TAM 12-01-17 Potential Longshots (Win Bets Only)
 

TAM 12-01-17 Potential Longshots (Win Bets Only)

Today's selections are for win only.
I am a one horse win bettor so I will list just one horse per race.
For those that bet 2 horses, feel free to list your opinions.

As I mentioned previously, betting on longshots and betting only one horse in my selected races affords me the comfort level to acquire a lower hit rate then the normal 30% or higher betting lower priced horses (1 per race) or
60% or higher when betting 2 horses which significantly reduces the odds on the winning horse when you do hit. Example. If I bet 2 (7-2 odds) horses in a race and one wins. My return is $9.00 for $4.00 bet or $ 4.50 for each $2.00 bet. That breaks down to 2-1 odds when you win.
That does not work for me.

Keep in mind that 70% of the races are won by horses that are 4-1 or lower on the morning line.
I look for the remaining 30%. As Ken Massa related in one of his studies, the strongest range for longshots would be 5-1 to 12-1 morning line odds.

Here are my single picks for today's Tampa 12-01-17

Race-3.....(#3)

Race-5.....(#12)

Race-6.....(#5)

Race-7.....(#4)

Race-8.....(#1)

Race-9.....(#7)

Good Luck and Good Skills.
Please keep Bill V. in your thoughts and prayers.

Bill I wish you the best.
Get well soon.

Good luck today. I capped this card but am not thrilled with it. Anyway here is my take for today,
r3 4869
r4 8731
r5 8394
r6 3257
r7 9572
r8 1378
r9 11837
I jump back with win bets and or exs before each race.
Tim

4-8-5-6-


Mitch44

Which race?

R3 2 mins to post will go $33 4 $2wp 8 $1box ex 3468.
Tim

Race 3
 

3-6

Tim, you were right on in race-3. Nice job.

Thanks thought 4 might have gotten dq.
Tim

R4 Will pass this one.
Tim

3rd partsnut, sorry about that, I'm playing multiple track and had to hurry to post it.


Mitch44