FG r12 G2 Risen Star
 

FG r12 G2 Risen Star (first division):

In reverse order:

6 -- Shashashakemeup: stretching out to 9f, rising from g3, one of four who run early, but too slow for this group => TOSS

3 -- Ready to Roll: stretching out to 9f, jump in class from MSW, big win in the mud last race, jockey switch to Saez, another early runner, but too slow for this group => TOSS

5 -- Moon over Miami: stretching out to 9f, jump in class, third after layoff, jockey switch to Alvarado, BUT hard to excuse last race, doubtful can run back to 12/7 race => TOSS

4 -- Perfect Revenge: stretching out to 9f, jump in class, 2nd after claim, jockey switch to Bridgmohan, but probably too slow for this group => TOSS

10 -- Farmington Road: stretching out to 9f, jump in class from MSW, improving each race, third race after layoff, jockey switch to Casetellano, probably too slow to win, but last race makes him ITM contender => pass for win, use underneath in vertical exotics

7 -- Blackberry Wine: stretching out to 9f, jump in class, 4th after layoff, BUT needs the lead and probably won't get it => pass for win, use underneath in vertical exotics

2 -- Silver State: stretching out to 9f, rising from G3, will be closing => Win bet at 8-1 or higher, use underneath in vertical exotics

8 -- Enforceable: stretching out to 9f, rising from G3, second after layoff, BUT will probably be too far back to win => Win bet at 8-1 or higher, use underneath in vertical exotics

1 -- Digital: stretching out to 9f, rising in class, BUT might steal the race if Hernandez can control the pace => Win bet at 8-1 or higher, use underneath in vertical exotics

11 -- Scabbard: stretching out to 9f, rising from G3, second after layoff, positive jockey switch to Rosario, steadied 1/4 last race => likely the value play if can get 4-1 or higher on win odds, use underneath in vertical exotics

9 - Mr Monomoy: stretching out to 9f, rising from G3, one of four who run early BUT has a closing kick => win bet at 5-2 or higher, use underneath in vertical exotics

Good luck

Richard

Good luck Richard.
Tim

Best
 

Good Luck/Skill Richard

Best of luck Richard.

This race has several Unknown factors in it as all are seeking ability and true class.
I downgraded the 11 for three routes and no wins even through trouble in last. #9 & 2 are improving and show ability to rate which is a plus.

# 7 & 8 have already shown some class with #7 winning both routes so his top is unknown.
# 1 changed running style in last and first route, ability unknown with only one route and nice improvement at most likely nice odds

Price always a consideration with 3 yr. old's and several unknowns, in a wide open affair I'll tread lightly and go:
1-8-7


What say you?


Mitch44

Waiting
 

Hello from Del Mar

Here is my look at FG Race 12

In the mean time I need a 1/9 to win for my single
at LRL

Attachment 48719

Very nice call on the 9 Richard & Bill. I had the 9 ranked 4th , downgraded him for no wins at the distance in two tries. Tough race as are most 3 yr. old races.


Again good work and congrats.


Mitch44

Results
 

Results:

9 17.00 8.00 4.60

8 4.60 3.00

2 2.80

10

$2.00 exacta 9/8 $83.20

$2.00 trifecta 9/8/2 $287.00

$2.00 superfecta 9/2/8/10 $1,781.40

11 runners

Richard

Nice hit guys. Good call on the 9.
Tim