Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   2015 Matchup Challenge (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=142)
-   -   MC August 1/2 by Capcondo (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10219)

The Pook 08-01-2015 03:38 PM

It is a special stakes day Mike. You are right they normally run at night so I posted the time with the race but I guess you missed it. No great loss. Maybe Tim will have an interesting one for us tomorrow.

Pook

Capcondo 08-01-2015 04:50 PM

Sunday 8/2 DMR #3
 
1 Attachment(s)
Sorry I'm a bit late with this. Here is a 6 furlong race from DMR with 8 horses running. Post time is 3:11 PDT which is about the same time the AP will be doing his thing at MTH.


Attachment 39202

Tim

mowens33 08-02-2015 12:45 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Del Mar 3

The Pook 08-02-2015 10:59 AM

DMR Race 3

Got a 22 and change quarter going. Seeing a wire job by the 5 with the 4 maybe catching.

Pook

4,5

Bill Lyster 08-02-2015 12:39 PM

Tim, are you at Del Mar today? If so, I might see you - same place as where we met a couple of years ago. I plan to be there about 1245 or thereabouts

Bill

cigar 08-02-2015 01:09 PM

Delmar r3
 
Pace: 21.9 - 44.8

ote/e - #3 may revert back to speed and try to steal the race, hence early.

Contenders: 3-4-7

win: 3-7

Bill Lyster 08-02-2015 01:54 PM

Guys, the 5 has been scratched!

Capcondo 08-02-2015 05:07 PM

Not al Del Mar
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster (Post 101048)
Tim, are you at Del Mar today? If so, I might see you - same place as where we met a couple of years ago. I plan to be there about 1245 or thereabouts

Bill

Bill,

I thought about going to Del Mar this year but decided not to after being in Oregon for a month.

Good Luck,

Tim

Capcondo 08-02-2015 05:29 PM

Del Mar #3:

When I put this race up, I didn't see much pace pressure. Now that 5 has been scratched, there is less pace pressure. Almost by default, I think the 4 will get the lead which is a place he doesn't want to be. He likes to run 4th at the first call. I'm guessing the 1st call at 22.3 with the half about 45.4.

I think the horses who will run well under this scenario are sustained horses. So, my top 2 horses are the 3 and the 7.

In race like this, the best sustained horses are the routers that show good times at the stretch call in routes. The 3 fits this scenario.

The 3 is my choice to win.

Tim

Capcondo 08-03-2015 11:32 AM

DMR #3 Chart
 
1 Attachment(s)
Congratulations to Mike on hitting the race. I need to work on better priced races! Here's the chart:

Attachment 39205

Tim


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