M4$16/2 Oct 29-mowens33
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Mike
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Belmont 9
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BEL9
From a 22.2/45 set by the three early horses 1,3 and 10, I see OTE. The most competent of those for me are 2,4,6,8. Closest to the pace of those are 2,8 just edging out 6 which ran well against the FPLR but may be too far back. 2,8 WIN Pook |
Bel R9
Pace: 22.7 - 45.3
OTE Contends: 2-4-6-9-13 1 - set pace - out 2 - Chad Brown lesser know - have more upside - Contender 3 - move up in class - out 4 - will have too much to make up in the stretch - Contender - out 5 - not in form - out 6 - not sure if he likes fast track - mud move up - out 7 - Scratch 8 - can't keep up with pace - out 9 - Longshot - can keep up with todays pace - contender 10 - up in class - out 11 - cannot keep up - out 12 - cannot keep up - out 13 - Wide post have too much to over come - contender - out Win: 2-9 Place: 9 |
22.2--45.4
Contenders 2-4-6-8-13 OTE My picks: 4 and 6 |
the speed horses are on the inside and the closers towards the outside. I think the 2 will try to set it up for his stablemate. therefore I am looking for a very fast pace and the race to go OTE. I think the best closers are 6 and 8.
#6 Stallwalkin Dude #8 Ami's Flatter both to win. |
There's not a lot of speed in this race. The 1 and possibly the 3 will run early in something like 22.3 45.0. I don't trust routing speed in a sprint. I don't think either early horse can win. I'm looking OTE for a horse that can run well against that kind of a pace and can execute strong internal fractions. I arrive on the 8.
In his last he was in an 11.3 between the half and 5f not losing any ground. Then, 4 back against a 22.3 and 24.2, he made a real power move. The 8 is my choice to win the race. |
To paraphrase Clark Gable, "Frankly, my dear, I don't know."
My play, however, is #4 to Win and Place. I see the contenders as #2, #4, #6 and #8. Lots of early, so I see OTE. My pick is chalk and has to move forward. mick |
6-2-4
Congratulations, Mike and Charlie. cigar pegged my #4 perfectly - too much ground to make up. mick |
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