Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Parx #8 10-7 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11873)

navyvet1994 10-07-2018 12:17 PM

Parx #8 10-7
 
1 Attachment(s)
I may have found something different. I know FTL tells us anything over 20-1 should be considered but I think this 30-1 is under priced. any help here?

also help in cut and paste????
Attachment 47259

navyvet1994 10-07-2018 12:25 PM

just to add to this I like this #7 His Fin# is way ahead of other totals. and I honestly think the favorite CAN be beaten in this race as of this time (12:19 PM) I also like the 5 horse.

mick 10-07-2018 01:12 PM

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Good morning, NV.

At those odds, I would suggest a small wager on #7. Can he hold on? Probably not, but at 30-1 and the counter-energy horse, I don't think the Doc would be pleased if you let him go off unbet. If the #5's odds stay in double digits, a small wager on him might be in order too. He may be going off form and seems to run better fresh though. A layoff might be a good idea. RDSS selected the 3rd paceline back and he was fresh then. That's probably not the best line for today's race.

navyvet1994 10-07-2018 01:22 PM

I played with the 5 and did not like what I saw. 5 needs long breaks. Potential stakes horse. still like 7. 3 or 6 would be good exacta matchups with 7. may need to box those. School is fun calling this final exam before i start getting my hands wet.

mick 10-07-2018 01:26 PM

Copy and paste
 
This is an easy way to copy and paste an image to a post in P&C.

First, capture the image. Alt+PrintScrn will work. Open Paint and paste the image into Paint. Next, crop it, keeping only what you want, and resize it to something smaller but still readable. (Smaller images take up less room on Ted's server.) Then save it to your desktop (or someplace where it's easy to find).

Write your post on P&C. Click the "paper clip" icon and follow the instructions to upload your saved image. Preview your post to make sure it looks like you want it, then Submit it.

Lt1 10-07-2018 02:43 PM

I worked this race. I would be leery of the 5 re declining speed ratings and no wins in its' last 10 according to the Trackmaster pps. it also failed in its' last race against similar. Based on my capping the 7 has a balance of 11 which for me takes it out of win contention. It does however show increasing speed ratings in its' last 3 but also is winless in its'last 10 races. As of now pending prices my contenders are 6-1-3-2-5.
Tim

Bill V. 10-07-2018 03:05 PM

Horses
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is what I come up with

Attachment 47261

mick 10-07-2018 03:35 PM

NV, our first-string has weighed in on this one.

mick 10-07-2018 04:09 PM

Holy smoke! Syndicate money on #6 (1-2). And they finish 6-2-1.

Lt1 10-07-2018 04:12 PM

I'll wagercap $5wp 1 &3
Tim


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