M4$16/2 Aug 27-lostandwon
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lostandwon
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Ind r7
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My picks are #1 to WIN; #6 to WIN
For a 7-horse field, this is a difficult race. I think the race will run EARLY without a lot of pressure. I have worked off #6's last line, adjusted for the distance. Both #1 and #6 are sharp and moving up in class after GTW wins. If the pace heats up, I expect M/L favorite #5 to win. #3 and #7 are both dropping, but I'm not convinced of their form. The closers #2 and #4 won't have enough pace to run at. #5 ships in from PrM and ran against FPLR. With any pace pressure, #5 should win. Otherwise, #1 and #6 will be on the lead and running modest fractions. mick |
Lost, it is unfortunate but with an off track there are three scratches...2,4, and7. Leaves a four horse field. Not sure there will be any value left.
Pook |
There were alot of lines available for each horse. Don't know the first thing about horses but certainly didn't anticipate a bunch of scratches in a dirt race.
With that said, Pook, if, as the M4$ Commissioner, you would like to pull the race I would have no issue. If not... I ID'd 1, 5, 6, 7 as some form of E I think the ML fave 5 is vulnerable with all the E, but she is a fighter. The 6 ran faster than anybody else has her last race. I look at her as a dominant Early from that line. She is going up in class but has been competitive here previously. Bet Win 6 |
Lost, no once a race is posted that is it. Those who have submitted can however change their minds and post a pass if they wish.
Pook |
There does seem to be good value on anything other than the 6.
Pook |
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