Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Tuesday -- August 10 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7052)

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 04:49 PM

Tuesday -- August 10
 
1 Attachment(s)
Fort Erie Changes
Tuesday August 10, 2010
The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Firm

The weather at the Track is now: Hot/Humid, 81

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 05:00 PM

FE
Race: 3 Win Place Show
1st 3 Sweet Sambuca 14.70 5.90 3.60
2nd 2 Moonlight Mile 4.30 3.10
3rd 7 Voodoo Momma 3.10
4th 6 Spectacle
$2 Exacta 3-2 58.90
$2 Trifecta 3-2-7 217.60
Refunds: 1

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 05:13 PM

1 Attachment(s)
FE 4th:

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 05:35 PM

#10 was 3-1 with 0 minutes to post.
I bet him to win. He won, but only paid 6/5 after all was said and done.

I also bet #1 Win-Place-Show. Was he the second best horse? No, but as a general rule of thumb I always bet a $100 horse if he's anywhere in top three VDC rankings.

#1 was 52-1 with 0 minutes to post.

There's not a month that goes by where I don't hit one of these monsters. I wound up making small profit on this race, but had the potential for a nice score. All you have to do is overcome your fear, trust the readouts and be patient.

FE
Race: 4 Win Place Show
1st 10 Royal Explosive 4.70 3.20 3.00
2nd 9 Megacode 12.00 9.20
3rd 2 Rinzai 5.40
4th 5 Sentimental Brew
$2 Exacta 10-9 48.10
$2 Trifecta 10-9-2 234.50
$2 Superfecta 10-9-2-5 2436.90
Refunds: None

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 05:43 PM

1 Attachment(s)
FE 5th:

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 05:58 PM

#4 was way overbet as the favorite.

#2 was on the rail sitting behind the leaders. He seemed shocked when they didn't open up like the Sea of Galilee for him. There was a direct correlation between the measure of his astonishment and the size of my win bet on him.

FE
Race: 5 Win Place Show
1st 10 Rumble Ruckus 12.80 6.60 4.90
2nd 1 Intuition Magic 14.20 7.60
3rd 6 Bear Always 4.10
4th 4 Nyuk Nyuk Nyuk
$2 Exacta 10-1 99.20
$2 Trifecta 10-1-6 679.20
$2 Superfecta 10-1-6-4 3585.90
Refunds: 7

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 06:11 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Maiden turf races, especially maiden claimers can be very lucrative. Are they difficult to handicap? You betcha. However, they're just as hard for everyone else to figure out. And we've got an edge -- we've got better tools than most.

Based on the odds right now this doesn't look like a moneymaker. As my friend, Floyd, is fond of saying, "It be that way sometimes."

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 06:31 PM

1 Attachment(s)
The winner had a "wake up call" in its last race, but I didn't think it was enough to use her.

FE
Race: 6 Win Place Show
1st 2 With All Diligence 49.00 15.50 8.70
2nd 5 Former Flame 4.40 4.10
3rd 3 Felicity 5.80
4th 8 Dancer's Reward
$2 Exacta 2-5 187.90
$2 Trifecta 2-5-3 2674.00
$2 Superfecta 2-5-3-8 7339.60
Refunds: 11,12,13,14,15,16
$2 Pick 3 10/10/2 3 of 3 1709.50

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 06:38 PM

1 Attachment(s)
FE 7th:

alydar_ David 08-10-2010 07:00 PM

1 Attachment(s)
FE
Race: 7 Win Place Show
1st 2 Indy Joe 11.60 7.30 5.10
2nd 3 Sunday Prince 11.00 7.40
3rd 4 Ghostly Concerto 3.00
4th 7 Karrmonio
$2 Exacta 2-3 103.80
$2 Trifecta 2-3-4 404.60
$2 Superfecta 2-3-4-7 1073.90
Refunds: 8
$2 Pick 3 10/2/2 3 of 3 5156.60
$2 Pick 4 10/10/2/2 4 of 4 8248.70

This horse only paid eleven bucks? *ahem*


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