Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   MC Oct 24 by PeteC (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10287)

The Pook 10-21-2015 01:35 PM

MC Oct 24 by PeteC
 
1 Attachment(s)
Pete

PeteC 10-23-2015 05:27 PM

Saturday
 
2 Attachment(s)
Let's go with a couple of races from Prx for Saturday. The 2nd is a good open field of claimers sprinting 6 furlongs. Post time is early for those of us out west...10:22 AM!

The 8th is a route loaded with E's. Scratches may affect this one, but then we get to decide if Early or OTE will win.

Good luck everyone!

mowens33 10-23-2015 07:25 PM

Parx 2
: 22.6--45.8--1:12.6
1. S—NF---Out
2. S—Contender—good pace match
3. EP—Contender—pace setter
4. S—Slow--Out
5. EP—Contender—close-up--good pace match
6. S—to far back--Out
7. S-- NF—Tandem--Out
8. P—NF—Tandem--Out
9. SP—NF—Tandem—Out

Looking early my picks 3 and 5

mowens33 10-23-2015 08:45 PM

Parx 8
: 22.8--:46.8--1:11.2--1:42.8
1. E—needs lead—slow--Out
1A. EP-- needs lead—will press pace--Out
2. E— Entry is a contender --has some big numbers, too much pace pressure--Out
2X. E—Entry is a contender--needs to press, not sure he can?
3. E— needs lead— too much pace pressure--Out
4. S—Contender—should be coming fast
5. EP—Contender--needs to press
6. E-- needs lead—will press pace--Out
7. P—not a good pace match--Out
8. EP— needs lead—will press pace--Out

Looking OTE
My Picks 5 and 4

Capcondo 10-24-2015 12:33 AM

PARX #2:

This is a tough race. I see it as a paceless race. I'm looking for fighters that can run well from off the pace. This puts me on the 3 and the 5. I like the 3's line 3 back and 7 back.

The 3 is my choice to win the race.

Tim

PeteC 10-24-2015 12:25 PM

Scratches
 
Prx 8th, scratch #1 and #1A

PeteC 10-24-2015 12:26 PM

Picks
 
Prx 2nd

I see this as a relatively paceless race. The 3 and 5 are the only horses who have ever been on the lead in a sprint at the 1C or 2C. The 5 did it against a 23.1 46.4 at Pen. The 3 has fought against much faster paces multiple times and will have every chance to dominate this race and go wire to wire. It does not need the lead to win either. I’ll take the 3 to win.

Prx 8th

6 of the 8 horses are E’s! Some have shown the ability to fight a little bit or win from a close 2nd or 3rd position but that’s hard for me to see happening today. These guys really like to open and fly if they can. Several have the ability to go 46.2 to 46.4 for the half if they have to. I have to believe there will be a meltdown here. Of the 2 OTE’s I like the 7. It shows it can handle the faster pace and run on in sprints from 9th and 5th position. It has also won routing. I’ll take the 7.

The Pook 10-24-2015 01:21 PM

PRX Race 2

Looks like we are all in kind of agreement on this one. I find the race paceless too. Have it down to contenders of 2,3,5 against 22.2, 46.1. 5 is my choice to take it with a toss up between the 2 and 3 for backup. No way I'm taking 6-5 on 3 so will take 2.

5,2

Pook

The Pook 10-24-2015 01:30 PM

Prx Race 8

Have to be looking OTE. 7 is top choice but 6 while being an E can win from a little back.

7,6

Pook

raceman5 10-24-2015 01:40 PM

Prx
 
Race 8. 5 will be part of the speed. Ton of speed this race. 4 will be coming hard.

4-5


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