Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   MC Nov 7 by cigar (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10301)

The Pook 11-03-2015 07:06 PM

MC Nov 7 by cigar
 
1 Attachment(s)
Cigar

cigar 11-06-2015 12:56 PM

Gpw
 
1 Attachment(s)
Gents it was a pleasure capping with you all. I have learned a lot and my capping has improved, not to where I would like it to be aka Raceman. Speaking of Raceman, your capping skills is one to admire.

Pook, I am in for what every the plans are for next year.

This week let play Gulfstream Park West race 3 and 4 - lots of speed.

raceman5 11-06-2015 02:16 PM

Gp
 
On paper it looks like the 2 horse should wire this field. Just for the fun of it i pulled my old prgram out Syn2. the number 2 horse shows 1's all across the screen in every catagory, followed by the 1 and 4. So in this race i will take the

1-4.

Thanks for the kind words Cigar, but anybody can do this if they put in the time. Being i am retired i can put in the time. Read the Hat file until it becomes a part of you and yes it does take at least 6 mths for all this to come together. Actually Ted is letting me take RDSS for a 30 day test drive. The print in thes publications is getting smaller and smaller at least with the RDSS software i can make the print as large as i like, works nice with a HD 25 inch screen.

Bob

cigar 11-07-2015 11:05 AM

Gpw
 
Race 3
Pace: 23 - 46.8

Win: 6 - 1

Race 4
Pace: 22 - 44.6
Contenders: 9-7-2

Win: 9-7

Capcondo 11-07-2015 11:15 AM

Scratches
 
Race #3: No scratches.

Race #4: Equibase says that the 10 is scratched and re-entered which I assume means he's scratched.

The Pook 11-07-2015 11:31 AM

Race 3

22.2 and 46. Maybe I'm setting this too hot but I used the 2's second race back for the first fraction time. There is a lot of contention which lead me to the 1's second fraction time of 46 from her last race.

Cigar has a much slower projected pace.....hmmmmmm ...... don't know why. This is a longer sprint and there could be a speed meltdown I suppose.

Matching all horses against my projected pace leaves me with only the 1 and 2.

Go with what I'm left with. 1,2

Pook

Capcondo 11-07-2015 11:51 AM

Gpw
 
Race #3: the 2 is the early fighting speed with the best early fractions. With a start position of 3rd, she passed horses to get the lead at the 1st call. The 2 is my choice to win.

Race #4:

The 4,5, and 8 should vie for the lead with the 3 and 9 being the contenders to win OTE. The 9 has faced the better fractions and is my choice to win.

The Pook 11-07-2015 12:07 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Race 4

2,3,4,5,8,9 as contenders. Couldn't separate at the first fraction. Have 21.5 43.2 and then 55.1.
As seen below with their race lines stacked where they ran against a 21.5 or better on the turf there are only 3 races that finished close or won at better than 43.2 for the half. They belong to the 3 and 9.
Will go that way. 3,9

Pook

mowens33 11-07-2015 01:26 PM

Race 3

22.2--45.8

Should be a bunch up front (2 to the lead?)

My pick 1 and 7 from off the pace.

mowens33 11-07-2015 02:03 PM

Race 4

Late to the party!!

I will go with the 4 and 5


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