Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   M4$16/2 Dec 3-lostandwon (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10754)

The Pook 11-28-2016 09:52 AM

M4$16/2 Dec 3-lostandwon
 
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lostandwon you are in control. Do what you may.

lostandwon 12-02-2016 08:30 PM

Tp r6
 
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lostandwon 12-02-2016 08:31 PM

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lostandwon 12-02-2016 08:32 PM

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lostandwon 12-02-2016 08:33 PM

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Above is last few lines of conditions stating 12 starters and 2 also's

Pat C. 12-03-2016 05:36 PM

I will jump in early. Not to familiar with TP. See lots of early speed in this race, so I will take the #11 who can win from off of a very fast pace.

Win and Place #11

mowens33 12-03-2016 06:39 PM

Lots of speed but I will go with what looks to me to be the speed of the speed and take the 4 to win.
Contenders: 4-11-2-3-8

cigar 12-03-2016 07:29 PM

Tp6
 
Pace: 22.1 - 45.6
OTE
Contenders: 4-7-8-11

lostandwon good choice for chaos. Lots of speed, many imports from other tracks and top it off many first time poly runners. Normally turf runners do well on poly.

#4 is the speed of speed and #8 is the grass to poly, but with two races left in the contest I have to look at price. #7 is proven on the poly and is fighter. He will have first run at the leaders. Of all the non-poly runners #11 can pick off the leaders when the pace falls apart.

Win 11 - 7
Place 11

lostandwon 12-03-2016 08:27 PM

Cigar, I'm with you on the chaos. What caught my eye was how the field came from varied spots in the class structure.

Lots of E 2,3,4,5,8,9, 10
3 was fplr. Don't see a dominant E so I'm going ote
Projecting por 22.3 - 45.4 off the 3
6 can close against hi 22's with line 3 being faster
7 runs well against mid 22's. A rerun of line 2 would be great positionally. Hope doesn't get caught up in the E. Toss last line. Took a shot at a route last out?
1 slow router. 11 can move against a fast pace but doesn't consistently
Bet
Win 7

The Pook 12-03-2016 08:41 PM

Chaos. Front runners all the way. 22.6/45.3. 4 and 6. 6 can also sit close behind. 4 is the class of the field.

Chaos. Better spread a bit. 4,6 wp
Pook


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