Saratoga
 

Saratoga race 10
This is a 6f race with 10 entries after scratches.
The 7 Smash Williams 7/2 ML and the 11 Discreet Mission 9/2 are my two main win horses.
My win bets will be on both horses if they are both above 5/2, if either or both are below 5/2 I will pass the race.

Good luck Richie.
Tim

Thanks
 

ThanksTim.
Hope this one pays as well as that one the other day.

Richie

Did you give that money back?. lol
Tim

Ha ha
 

No I decided to keep it and use some of it today.
I forgot to put in the #8 as my third horse, if he goes off at 10/1 or higher he will be a nice saver.
Richie

notes
 

Richard
Wishing you great skill ( You have that in the bank) and Luck :)

Here are my notes I hope you get a good result, This one has me stumped



Race 10 CL16,000 Nonwinners of 2 races lifetime
3 and up males

The conditions of the race show that all these horses have only 1 win - their maiden win. Now they're trying to win again against winners.

Horse 1 Scratch

Horse 2 Can Go - Just won against MC12000 at Finger Lakes at 2.6/1 Line 1 86 83.5 169.5 E/L 2.5

Horse 3 Zento He has been spending lots of time in the barn He won at MCs30 at AQU at 9.1/1
He should have shown more in his return at Fingerlakes
Then he went on another layoff He's been stabled
here at Sar. but he only shows 1 so-so workout
in the last two weeks Rating line 2
87.9 81.1 160 E/L 6.8

Horse 4 Lake Party He ran a plus race in line 2
against open 20,000 claimers, The track was a fast -24
DTV His 87 87.2 174 with a -0.2 looks a little over
his normal track abilities Line 2

Horse 5 Musicality He tried CL40000 first try against winners after beating MC state 25's
He comes in off a 157-day layoff
He had the lead for the first two fractions but faded.
in line 1. I will rate him using line 2.
92.3 81.2 173.5 He shows excellent workout

Horse 6 Scratch

Horse 7 Smash Williams I Ortiz and Pletcher.
Line 2 is his maiden special win at GP for $46000
He tried Open 30,000 but ran okay early but nothing late
Then another 5 weeks layoff with mild workouts
Because of the big drop and form issues
I will rate him from line 2 92.4 75.1 167.5 17.3 E/L

Horse 8 Go Big or Go Home His recent form is off
This is the second race off a layoff He shows a
good workout 9 days ago
His ratings will come from line 6 which was his MC40 win
89 87 176 E/L 2

Horse 9 Scratch

Horse 10 Street Cat Sam He just ran a plus race against this exact same condition He is in peak form with a gate work 6 days ago Line 1 91.9 85.3 177.1 E/L 6.6

Horse 11 Discreet Mission Tough call here.
His best races at 1 mile. He comes off a 47-day layoff
and he has beautiful workouts All I can do is take the adjusted line 1 readouts 91.2 86.4 177.6 E/L 4.8

Horse 12 Analyze Your Luck he started his career winning a $100.000 MS at Belmont His last plus race was at the weird 8.2
furlong distance at Finger Lakes in an allowance 18
He failed at short odds in both tries at Finger Lakes
I will rate him the adjusted line 2 85 84 169 E/L 1.0

Horse 13 Money Laundering Beat MCs25's just about a year ago here at SAR. Then he went on a 296-day layoff
He ran well in his return against this level in line 1
But then went back in the barn I will rate him from line 1
since the workouts are not too good and poorly spaced

Attachment 46709

Two min to post
#7 5/2 5.00 w
#11 7/2 5.00w # 8 8/1 2.00
see what happens

Not Bad
 

$!2.00 invested. 22.75 returned.10.75 profit.
I will take it.

Thanks for your breakdown Bill
I always like to see how others break down a race.
Rmath

Nice job Richie,
Tim