Preakness Marathon?
 

Most years if you handicapped the Derby the Preakness was already handicapped as well, but this year none of the top 4 Derby finishers are coming back. But still there are a few returnees from the Derby and maybe some new blood to consider. I recall that The Hat considered marathons at 10 furlongs and longer, but this method has worked well for years even though the race is only 9.5 furlongs.

Improbable has run 4-4-1 off of a 136.1 mile split and 6-6-2 off of a 112.5 3/4 split in the Derby.

Warrior's Charge ran 1-1-1 off of a 136.2 with a 6F split of 111.5 with lengths to spare (open leads in several previous races, (even further in front than Maximum Security's races, BTW).

Always Mining has run 1-1-1 off of a 136.3 with a 6f split of 113.0 and 3-1-1 off of a 112.7 split.

Bodexpress has run 2-2-2 off of a 136.3 mile and 112.9 6f time. I think he was impacted somewhat in the Derby and his 2nd in his previous race shows he can run in graded company, despite his maiden status.

Anothertwistoffate ran a 134.8 mile while running 3-4-3 to the stretch call vs a 112.9 6f call; and another mile in 137.7 running 3-4-2 against a 109.6 6f call.

I think Warrior's Charge and Always Mining go to the lead with WC surviving; Improbable and Bodexpress right behind and then Anothertwistoffate behind them.

So Improbable at 5/2 and Bodexpress at 20/1 on top with maybe a wire job by Warrior's Charge at 12/1 with Anothertwistoffate the third pressing type that might crack the top 3.


good luck to you all.

Commentary revision on Warriors Charge:

How much is this from one track to another.
Performance is when the gate Pop's
All of the replay

Hey when did the race start
 

As soon as the gate Popped.
I will never forget that saying: WoW
I was on the #8