Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Gp 8-8 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13182)

Ted Craven 08-08-2020 11:13 AM

Gp 8-8
 
5 Attachment(s)
Working the 4 Factor numbers - looking for nuances in ordering. No ABC tiering.

Race 1 - PASS - too many FTS

Race 2 - 6-2-1-5-7

Attachment 49349

Race 3 - 2-7-1-4-6

Attachment 49350

Race 4 - 6-5-8-4-1 (adjust the #5 CSR for trouble last line)

Attachment 49353

Race 5 - 11-10-1-5-6-2 (#10 has no Turf performance, would demote from Win)

Attachment 49351

Race 6 - PASS - too many FTS

Race 7 - 9-5-1-10-6-4 (#10 has no Turf performance, would demote from Win)

Attachment 49352

Ted Craven 08-08-2020 11:13 AM

5 Attachment(s)
Race 8 - 9-7-3-2-8

Attachment 49355

Race 9 - 6-3-7-5-10

Attachment 49356

Race 10 - 6-8-2-11-1

Attachment 49357

Race 11 - 5-9-7-3-8

Attachment 49358

Race 12 - 2-7-9-6-3/10 (3 & 10 tied)

Attachment 49359

Ted Craven 08-08-2020 11:17 AM

Summary:

1. PASS
2. 6-2-1-5-7
3. 2-7-1-4-6
4. 6-5-8-4-1 (adjust the #5 CSR for trouble last line)
5. 11-10-1-5-6 (#10 no Turf, would demote from Win)
6. PASS
7. 9-5-1-10-6 (#10 no Turf, would demote from Win)
8. 9-7-3-2-8
9. 6-3-7-5-10
10. 6-8-2-11-1
11. 5-9-7-3-8
12. 2-7-9-6-3/10 (3 & 10 tied)

rmath 08-08-2020 12:03 PM

R 7
 
Ted, the 4-6-7 are secondary contenders because they only have 2 of the 4 ratings.
I only look at horses like these as longshots (15/1 or higher) and only use in the miner spots for exactas and tris.

Ted Craven 08-08-2020 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rmath (Post 129166)
Ted, the 4-6-7 are secondary contenders because they only have 2 of the 4 ratings.
I only look at horses like these as longshots (15/1 or higher) and only use in the miner spots for exactas and tris.

OK, thanks. I was trying to put in Top 5 horses in order, as part of digesting how to calculate the ranks. Agreed, 4th, 5th, 6th ranks are not Win Contenders (nor, IMO) are the couple of #10 horses so far in Turf races without Turf histories, hence my notes). Working on the rest of the raxes ...

Ted

rmath 08-08-2020 12:22 PM

Gp 8-8
 
R 7 )A: 9 B: 1-5 C: 10
R 8) A: 9 B: 7 C: 3-5-8
R 9 ) A: 3-6 B: 7 C longshot only 5
R 10 ) A: 6 B: 8 C: 2 D: 11
R 11 ) A: 5 B: 9 C: 3-7 D: longshot 8
R 12) A: 2 B: 7 C: 9 D: 8

Good Luck today
Rmath

Lt1 08-08-2020 12:46 PM

Good luck guys
Tim

So Cal Al 08-08-2020 06:20 PM

Well, that was a fun day..............and should I mention profitable. LOL

rmath 08-08-2020 06:24 PM

Recap
6 Races played
3 As won 1 B won 2 Cs won
4 p-3s 371.65 ; 283.75 : 21.60 , 24.00
1 P-4 165.70
1 P-5 4801.10

and 1 P-6 8472.58
Not a bad day.
Rmath

dogkatcher 08-08-2020 06:38 PM

rmath, Great Call in the 8th with the 5 horse. Would you please give some insight of the thinking of not taking the 2 and inserting the 5 with a 3 xxx

Greatly appreciating this educational series.
John


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