Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - Parx Early DD races

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Parx Early DD races - 9/11/17

A pair of "hers and his" claiming routes to kick off a Monday at the PRX...

Race 1:
Attachment 44212

Race 2:
Attachment 44213

#1 - Line 2
#2 - Line 3
#3 - Line 2
#7 - Line 1
#8 - Line 1

Attachment 44215

BL/BL output

Attachment 44216

Good morning Tim. I'll be out before the late scrs come in but here are my early contenders in order of preference.

r1 1-l5
9-l1
8-l1
3-l2
2-l3

r2 1-l2
8-l3
5-l4
3-l4
4-l3
Good luck if you play today
Tim

Contenders in R2:

#1 - Line 2
#3 - Line 5
#4 - Line 1
#5 - Line 4
#7 - Line 2
#8 - Line 4

Attachment 44217

Bottom Line output for R2:

Attachment 44218

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 111693)

We are pretty much on point in R2. That is encouraging to see! :D

1st race 3-1-9-8
2nd race 1-8-9-11

I like the 2nd race better than the 1st. Might be a couple nice prices today.

Mitch44

R 1) 1-9-2-8
R 2) 1-8-12-4
2.00DD 1-9//1-8
1.00 DD 1-9 //4-12
1.00 DD 2-8 // 1-8

Good luck to everyone.
rmath

<table class="toteboard" id="rbOutput"><tbody class="ng-scope" id="rbRows" ng-controller="rtbController"><tr id="44164-4dc67" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"><td class="alignL">COMPLETED:   44164-4dc67  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, WT, 3, 8, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $9.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $9.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="cf475-82c48" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   cf475-82c48  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">9, WT, 1, 3, 8</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $9.00</td><td class="amount return"> $57.30
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $48.30
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="cfeaf-34168" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   cfeaf-34168  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$0.50 Trifecta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 3, 9, WT, 1, 3, 8, 9, WT, 6</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.50</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.50
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Modest payoff but for a guy who's been suffering through a stretch of seconditis, anything on the profit side of the ledger is good.

<table class="toteboard" id="rbOutput"><tbody class="ng-scope" id="rbRows" ng-controller="rtbController"><tr id="425d9-651e4" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"><td class="alignL">COMPLETED:   425d9-651e4  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #2
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">9, WT, 1, 8</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="c4def-ee1ed" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   c4def-ee1ed  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #2
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">BX, 1, 8</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $23.40
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $19.40
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="a5b7a-2a5aa" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   a5b7a-2a5aa  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #2
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 8, WT, 9, 11</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $12.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $12.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="44164-4dc67" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   44164-4dc67  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, WT, 3, 8, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $9.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $9.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="cf475-82c48" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   cf475-82c48  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">9, WT, 1, 3, 8</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $9.00</td><td class="amount return"> $57.30
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $48.30
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="cfeaf-34168" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   cfeaf-34168  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$0.50 Trifecta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 3, 9, WT, 1, 3, 8, 9, WT, 6</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.50</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.50
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="19e87-e825d" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   19e87-e825d  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Double</td><td class="ng-binding">3, 9, WT, 1, 8, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $18.00</td><td class="amount return"> $51.60
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $33.60
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="7584e-36e9c" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   7584e-36e9c  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Double</td><td class="ng-binding">1, WT, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $3.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $3.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="19130-059ed" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   19130-059ed  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Double</td><td class="ng-binding">1, WT, 1, 8</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="25fe7-8c610" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   25fe7-8c610  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #1
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Double</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 3, 9, WT, 11</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $6.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $6.00
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Nice call also rmath and the Mick. Lt1 also had it and put his bets in prior to leaving on his Dr apt.

You guys are good and " The Monkey strikes again also."
Mitch44

Well looks like everybody gets bragging rights today so far.
Tim

thanks Mitch and congrats to all who hit. Mitch did you get much damage from the hurricane ?
rmath

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mitch44 (Post 111702)

Mitch is an excellent handicapper but he's even better when he bets. Here we have two chalky races and he's made a profit of $58.80 with little exactas, trifectas and doubles. He wagered $73.50 with a $1 ROI of $1.80.

awesome results to all

Yea Way to go, guys

I wish I could have joined in but I just rolled into LAX, having driven down from
the bay area overnight. Worst time of the day to be in LA traffic and Monday morning makes it worse.

I noticed the two races Jeebs posted but I could not pull over and make my delivery appointment.

Happy everybody made it safely by Irma
Nice wagering to everybody!!
No peanuts this time

Bill

No damage at all Richie, thanks for your concern. Just hit this one as the Monkey is doing something right.

<table class="toteboard" id="rbOutput"><tbody class="ng-scope" id="rbRows" ng-controller="rtbController"><tr id="eee7f-193ea" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"><td class="alignL">COMPLETED:   eee7f-193ea  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #6
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$1 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, WT, 5, 6, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $3.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $3.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="df816-b2a11" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   df816-b2a11  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #6
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">10, WT, 1, 5, 6, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $12.00</td><td class="amount return"> $55.50
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $43.50
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="257f1-b1820" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   257f1-b1820  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #6
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">10, WT, 6, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $37.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $33.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="c03cc-5b70f" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   c03cc-5b70f  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #6
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$1 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 5, 6, 9, WT, 10</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="0b5f5-1e775" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   0b5f5-1e775  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #6
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$1 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">10, WT, 6, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $2.00</td><td class="amount return"> $18.50
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $16.50
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Beats losing.

<table class="toteboard" id="rbOutput"><tbody class="ng-scope" id="rbRows" ng-controller="rtbController"><tr id="2a439-4f427" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"><td class="alignL">COMPLETED:   2a439-4f427  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #7
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$1 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">2, 6, WT, 1, 3</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="8b074-fd51f" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   8b074-fd51f  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #7
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">1, 3, WT, 1, 2, 3, 6</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $12.00</td><td class="amount return"> $25.20
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $13.20
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Nice going Mitch. As we talked so far today I'm having another great day at Parx. Yesterday had 5#1s and 3#2s win out of 9 races. So far today 5#1s & 2 #2s won in 7 races. I posted all of these over at RX forum if anyone is interested.
Tim

Nothing like ending up on a good note as the Monkey struck again. This was a tough race with the # 1, was he sound or a suspicious drop. With winners share of the purse 12,000 & the claim money of 5,00 he wouldn't have lost any $. I threw him out but the horse worried the hell out of me . He ran like a pig. The # 9 in the 8th race I threw out and it cost me a real nice ex.
Onward,
Mitch44

<table class="toteboard" id="rbOutput"><tbody class="ng-scope" id="rbRows" ng-controller="rtbController"><tr id="379ee-2cb98" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"><td class="alignL">COMPLETED:   379ee-2cb98  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #9
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$3 Win</td><td class="ng-binding">4</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $3.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $3.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="fc629-114b2" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   fc629-114b2  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #9
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$1 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">4, 9, WT, 3, 5</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $4.00</td><td class="amount return"> $0.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">- $4.00
  </td><td class="amount wonlost ng-hide" ng-show="wager.frozenWager == 'true' && CSSDLength != 9">Claim Winnings
<button class="ssn-collection-click-element" ng-click="showSSNCollectionWidget();" ng-disabled="ssnCollecting">Claim Winnings</button>
</td></tr><tr id="a79f2-bc0fb" ng-repeat="wager in wagers"> <td class="alignL">  COMPLETED:   a79f2-bc0fb  </td><td> PRX
  </td><td> #9
  </td><td class="ng-binding">$2 Exacta</td><td class="ng-binding">3, 5, WT, 4, 9</td><td class="alignL faded">none  </td><td class="amount bet ng-binding"> $8.00</td><td class="amount return"> $64.20
  </td><td class="amount wonlost" ng-show="wager.conditionalWager == 'true' || wager.frozenWager == 'false' || CSSDLength == 9">+ $56.20
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Thanks Jeebs as I had no intention of playing today.

Finished the day with a good exacta at Parx.

Nice Mick ,very nice, CONGRATS!!!

Mitch44

Mitch, in the 9th race, Jorge Navarro's #1 horse worried the heck out of me, too. (Actually, any Navarro horse worries me.) Fortunately, this one didn't run.
In the 8th race, #9 was never on my radar and I was loaded up on exactas. That was a big ouch!

Still, it was a good day and my $1 ROI was 1.99.

Plus Navarro is 51% with drops after a claim. I guess like me you can't get all these suspicious drops.(9 race) I thought that horse was unsound.

Negative drops are a powerful tool that has to be in your tool box. There was a recent thread I believe by Bill V, that everyone should review.

I have to go feed the Monkey.
Mitch44

Nice job Mitch and Mick. I also hit 9th winner and late dd. Missed ex.

completed 46675-bcf16 trk Prx r9 wager$5wp runner5 bet amt $10 ret$33.50 +23.50
completed 02cbf-52621 trk Prx r8 wager$2dd runners159wt158 bet amt $18 ret $122 +104.
In the last 2 days [18races] my #1 pick won 12 times. The win prices were 9,3,80,2,80,4.80,5.80,3.80,7,60,3.40,12.00,26.20,8.40.4.40
Additionall my #2 pick won another 5. Win prices were 5,8.80,11.40,8.80,7.40. RDSS along with my track model have spot on.
Tim

You're on fire Tim. With those red hot finger tips you must have a closet full of key boards. ha ha ha . After discussing that # 1 Navarro horse we both made the same & correct decision, I did lighten my bet up because of it.

A very good day for many here, most of these winners were right there on BLBL

Mitch44

I never in all my time with the Doc ever had a 2 day period like this. It was pointed out by a friend I would have hit 5p3s ranging from $16.40 to $332.60 and the late p4 for 382.45.Think the stewards will drug test me soon lol.

Just another stroll in the Park, love that bank. Besides being high on ability the stewards do need to drug test you ASAP.

Like many other things racing success can be fleeting at times so manage that capital for that next big run. Money management is the biggest under estimated factor in horse racing. And let's keep attacking with the "Doc's" multiple prong attack. An old military axiom is to know the enemy which related to horseracing means know the horse, trainer and the betting public as we must capitalize on their mistakes.

Onward to the next objective and all the intermediate objectives that leads to success.

Marching on,
Mitch44