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-   -   M4$16/2 Aug 27-lostandwon (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10561)

The Pook 08-22-2016 02:10 PM

M4$16/2 Aug 27-lostandwon
 
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lostandwon 08-26-2016 05:42 PM

Ind r7
 
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lostandwon 08-26-2016 06:04 PM

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lostandwon 08-26-2016 06:08 PM

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Post 8:53 pm Eastern

lostandwon 08-26-2016 06:18 PM

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One more...

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mick 08-27-2016 04:24 PM

My picks are #1 to WIN; #6 to WIN

For a 7-horse field, this is a difficult race.

I think the race will run EARLY without a lot of pressure. I have worked off #6's last line, adjusted for the distance. Both #1 and #6 are sharp and moving up in class after GTW wins. If the pace heats up, I expect M/L favorite #5 to win.

#3 and #7 are both dropping, but I'm not convinced of their form. The closers #2 and #4 won't have enough pace to run at.

#5 ships in from PrM and ran against FPLR. With any pace pressure, #5 should win. Otherwise, #1 and #6 will be on the lead and running modest fractions.

mick

The Pook 08-27-2016 06:15 PM

Lost, it is unfortunate but with an off track there are three scratches...2,4, and7. Leaves a four horse field. Not sure there will be any value left.

Pook

lostandwon 08-27-2016 08:36 PM

There were alot of lines available for each horse. Don't know the first thing about horses but certainly didn't anticipate a bunch of scratches in a dirt race.

With that said, Pook, if, as the M4$ Commissioner, you would like to pull the race I would have no issue.

If not...

I ID'd 1, 5, 6, 7 as some form of E

I think the ML fave 5 is vulnerable with all the E, but she is a fighter.

The 6 ran faster than anybody else has her last race. I look at her as a dominant Early from that line. She is going up in class but has been competitive here previously.

Bet
Win 6

The Pook 08-27-2016 08:47 PM

Lost, no once a race is posted that is it. Those who have submitted can however change their minds and post a pass if they wish.

Pook

The Pook 08-27-2016 08:49 PM

There does seem to be good value on anything other than the 6.

Pook


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