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-   -   Synergism without RDSS (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8618)

shoeless 08-24-2012 03:20 PM

Synergism without RDSS
 
I thought I would start this thread for people using Synergism the old
fashioned way.


Straight from Doc's mouth

Because of the way Synergism is able to auto adjust the data there is
no reason for any small adjustments to be made.Therefore giving the
user more time to pick thier own pacelines.

Bill V. 08-24-2012 06:15 PM

Hi Jeff
 
Can you give us an example race?

Thanks
Bill

Bill V. 08-24-2012 06:49 PM

Shoe raw
 
2 Attachment(s)
hello Jeff

here is race 8 from Pen tonight I did the race completely raw and entered my lines and set up times by hand

Here is the first screen
I said yes to shippers because of the different surfaces and distances
of the pacelines I used
Attachment 29847

To keep it simple I used basic phase 1 to pick my lines
and get down to 5 contenders

I sorted the race by FW
My set up times are from the 3 horses with 8.0 pacelines
The 3 year best is 136.3

BTW the fulcrum is 113.3 140.1 and is also one of the setup times

here is race 8 raw
Attachment 29848

Bill V. 08-24-2012 06:59 PM

here is the race fully adjusted by RDSS
 
1 Attachment(s)
Adjusted lines
same race race 8 Penn 8/24

Attachment 29849

Bill V. 08-24-2012 09:37 PM

Raw
 
3 Attachment(s)
In the 8th race at Penn doing the race as well as I can as per the manual
and using raw data, Proved to be the way to go

The raw number using 3 set up times and the 3 year best
has the win place and show 1 7 8 right on top
The adjusted did not do well at all :rolleyes:
Attachment 29852

Attachment 29850

Jeff may be on to something This really was not that hard to do
If Ted could make it so that the shipper and set up times could be entered
by hand first, then the raw pacelines I think Jeff is correct that the program should make the adjustments not RDSS

BTW here is the RDSS BLBL using the same lines
Attachment 29851
Bill

shoeless 08-24-2012 10:56 PM

Bill,

Way to go by looking at your dream race the 1 owned the 1st and 3rd
fractions so pretty much looked like a lock.


I really havent played anything the last 3 weeks as the cards have looked
really bad.The next time I see an interesting race I will post it.

I dont know if you have done it or not but listen to those Synergism tapes
as Doc gives a great presentation on the dream race.

alydar_ David 08-25-2012 09:27 AM

Bill,

Nice work. Incidentally, if all the pacelines are from the same track you don't have to answer "Yes" for shippers as the program will automatically make the adjustments.

Jeff,

By any chance do you have the link for that video?

Bill V. 08-25-2012 10:40 AM

David
 
1 Attachment(s)
This is from the SYN ll manual

In my race all the lines were from Penn but I had different distance
and 2 off tracks so I read this to mean say yes to shippers in this race?


Attachment 29858
any help would be great
Bil

alydar_ David 08-25-2012 10:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 83524)
This is from the SYN ll manual

In my race all the lines were from Penn but I had different distance
and 2 off tracks so I read this to mean say yes to shippers in this race?


Attachment 29858
any help would be great
Bil

Bill, my interpretation of that would be only answer "Yes" if one of those PEN pacelines was turf. The different distances and off tracks from PEN would be automatically handled by the program.

What I'm not sure about -- how to handle artificial surfaces. For example, if today is a dirt race and the paceline you're using is from a tapeta race does that call for a "Yes" adjustment. I don't know. I've been saying "Yes", but like I said, I'm not sure.

shoeless 08-25-2012 12:39 PM

Bill,

David is right off tracks and different distances are handled by the program.


David,

I got that from Doc on the Syn tapes which are in the library.

Bill V. 08-25-2012 01:43 PM

MNR race 7
 
3 Attachment(s)
Here is race 7 from MTN tonight

Once again I used basic Phase 1 to select pacelines and contenders

I used a 3 year best time of 141.3
I used the tandem 8-3 as 1 set up time 114 145.3 this is also the fulcrum
and horse 6 ran at MNR line 3 8.3 furlongs 115 146.1 a win line

I said yes to shippers in this race = Horse 5 from Tdn
I sorted by FW

Attachment 29866
**
First below is raw

Attachment 29867
here is adjusted from RDSS
**
Attachment 29868

shoeless 08-25-2012 01:54 PM

Bill,

Because of your ability to pick pacelines I would be very surprised if you
didnt do well with this program.

Jeff

shoeless 08-25-2012 05:30 PM

2 Attachment(s)
This race for tonight at PID the 7th

shoeless 08-25-2012 05:48 PM

There are a couple of questionable pacelines here that I chose

5- I went 4 back as I dont like entering 5.5 races in 6 fur.My opinion
here is horse is out for exercise to be dropped back to a 5.5 race.

7- I went 4 back as to me 6 fur is horses best distance

Bill V. 08-25-2012 06:49 PM

Shoe Pid Adjusted
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hi Jeff

Here are your lines for the PID race 7 using the adjusted RDSS lines

Attachment 29883

Bill V. 08-25-2012 08:16 PM

The 6
 
Hi Jeff

Both raw and adjusted did good this time
The 6 wins and pays $7.00
Nice line work looks like the super was 6 9 5 4
Bill

shoeless 08-25-2012 08:19 PM

Bill,

6 held on to win by a nose at the wire.

Thanks for the 2nd look

Jeff

shoeless 08-26-2012 08:20 AM

Bill,

Actually I made a big contender error here by not putting in 9 horse who
2 races back had run 2nd to the 6.


If you used the 9's last race the program came up with 9-6,it
ran 6-9 83.00

Bill V. 08-26-2012 09:40 AM

nine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hi Jeff

I was wodering why you didn't use the 9 ?

I used this race as one of my RDSS contest races
I went with the 6- 4

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...2&postcount=30

here is the nines PP's

Attachment 29895

shoeless 08-26-2012 10:39 AM

Bill,

Not as young as I used to be

Jeff

Bill V. 08-26-2012 12:16 PM

Mnr Race results
 
1 Attachment(s)
In the MNR race 7
The Raw data using Synergism as per the manual
once again out preforms the Adjusted data from RDSS

Raw has the exacta 5-1
Adjusted has the winner # 5 ranked last

Test results so far

Race 1 Penn 8 8/24 Winner RAW
Race 2 PID Race 7 8/25 Winner Tie
Race 3 MNR Race 7 8/25 Winner Raw

Attachment 29902

JimG 08-26-2012 12:36 PM

Hi Guys,

I don't know 1/100th of what Shoe, Pino, Alydar David, Parts, Bill V., Ted and others do about Synergism2. However, I have begun using it with the adjusted ratings (I'm one of the lazy ones Shoe<g>), and have been pretty pleased with the results thus far. I find the FW ratings somewhat mirror the order in RDSS BL/BL, but the DR ratings bring something extra to the mix.

Hope you guys have a good day at the races today! I have been enjoying these threads on this old program. Kudos to Ted for providing an export.

Jim

Bill V. 08-26-2012 12:57 PM

Mth 1 8/26
 
2 Attachment(s)
Sorry I didn't get this one in on time bu the race just went off

Here are my lines I used Phase 1 for my contenders and pace lines

Here is the raw data
My set up time is shown
The 3 year best for Mth at 1 mile is 134.2

Attachment 29903

Attachment 29904

shoeless 08-26-2012 01:11 PM

Bill,

Nice going

Bill V. 08-26-2012 01:13 PM

Race 1 Mth Adjusted
 
2 Attachment(s)
The 3 wins at $19.00

This time both raw and adjusted have the winner in the top 2 FW
so this is a tie

Attachment 29905

Attachment 29906

Bill V. 08-26-2012 01:16 PM

After 4 races
 
Test results race worked so far = 4


Race 1 Penn 8 8/24 Winner RAW
Race 2 PID Race 7 8/25 Winner Tie
Race 3 MNR Race 7 8/25 Winner Raw
Race 4 MTH Race 1 8/26 Winner = Tie

shoeless 08-26-2012 01:17 PM

Jim,

Even though you are just starting to use it Im sure you know just
as much as me.

It's good to hear all these postive reports about people doing well
with Syn using the RDSS export.It seems like Ted has come up with
a winner here.

My comment about being lazy was a bit too strong.Actually I punch
in numbers all day on my job so getting a bit tired doing it also I think
Im starting to get carpel tunnel.

Cant really afford using RDSS at this juncture so have to stick with
$1 bris files for now.

JimG 08-26-2012 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless (Post 83575)
Jim,

Even though you are just starting to use it Im sure you know just
as much as me.

It's good to hear all these postive reports about people doing well
with Syn using the RDSS export.It seems like Ted has come up with
a winner here.

My comment about being lazy was a bit too strong.Actually I punch
in numbers all day on my job so getting a bit tired doing it also I think
Im starting to get carpel tunnel.

Cant really afford using RDSS at this juncture so have to stick with
$1 bris files for now.

Hi Jeff,

Oh I took no offense whatsoever. In fact I agree. I just cannot stand to input data at this juncture in my life. I have been downloading and using the program(s) to just crunch numbers for too many years to go back. I use my time plotting my wagering and carefully observing what seems to be working at the various tracks I watch during the day when I have time.

I am sure I am using RDSS and Synergism incorrectly but as long as my observations work for me, I carry on marching to my own tune. I am sure I would drive Bill V. crazy if he saw my work with the Sartin programs. Although I am sure we would agree to Let it Ride. :D

Little redboard, caught a nice $17 horse just now at Sar in the first. Top LP in a turf race. I always play a little on them in turf routes when at a price. I do things little differently, but I love this board and appreciate all the work that has gone into it.

Jeff, you and Bill keep showing examples. It really helps me learn.

Jim

Bill V. 08-26-2012 01:32 PM

Jim
 
The topic of this thread as I understand it was that Syn 2 was best used as
in the manual

There are a few parts of syn 2 that need some hand input
First is the question about shippers.
Next is the track record or 3 year best time.
Last is the set up times .

This test is to see if doing these vital steps makes a difference
over just sending adjusted data from RDSS

I am doing this because If the test holds up I believe as Shoe pointed out
Doing all the seps will out preform just sending the adjusted numbers
from RDSS. If this holds up and is the case , Then Ted will have a valid reason to invest his time into working a way that the set up time, shipper and 3 year best- track record can also be
auto entered.

A problem with testing the readouts from 2 different methods is there are quite a few readouts to compare on SYN 2
For the test I will just go with the top 2 FW and the top 2 DR

so far Jeff's suggested method is 4 for 4

GS
Bill

Bill V. 08-26-2012 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JimG (Post 83576)
Hi Jeff,


I am sure I am using RDSS and Synergism incorrectly but as long as my observations work for me, I carry on marching to my own tune. I am sure I would drive Bill V. crazy if he saw my work with the Sartin programs. Although I am sure we would agree to Let it Ride. :D

Little redboard, caught a nice $17 horse just now at Sar in the first. Top LP in a turf race. I always play a little on them in turf routes when at a price. I do things little differently, but I love this board and appreciate all the work that has gone into it.

Jeff, you and Bill keep showing examples. It really helps me learn.

Jim

Nice going Jim Let It Ride :)

alydar_ David 08-26-2012 02:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 83574)
Test results race worked so far = 4


Race 1 Penn 8 8/24 Winner RAW
Race 2 PID Race 7 8/25 Winner Tie
Race 3 MNR Race 7 8/25 Winner Raw
Race 4 MTH Race 1 8/26 Winner = Tie

Now you're talking, an objective test. I realize this is a lot of work. Thanks for doing it, Bill.

alydar_ David 08-26-2012 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 83578)
The topic of this thread as I understand it was that Syn 2 was best used as
in the manual

There are a few parts of syn 2 that need some hand input
First is the question about shippers.
Next is the track record or 3 year best time.
Last is the set up times .

This test is to see if doing these vital steps makes a difference
over just sending adjusted data from RDSS

I am doing this because If the test holds up I believe as Shoe pointed out
Doing all the seps will out preform just sending the adjusted numbers
from RDSS. If this holds up and is the case , Then Ted will have a valid reason to invest his time into working a way that the set up time, shipper and 3 year best- track record can also be
auto entered.

A problem with testing the readouts from 2 different methods is there are quite a few readouts to compare on SYN 2
For the test I will just go with the top 2 FW and the top 2 DR

so far Jeff's suggested method is 4 for 4

GS
Bill

Bill, that seems like a reasonable way to test the difference.

Just for your information, and not necessarily for testing purposes, most winners are found in the top two of FW, TT and DR. Sometimes the actual TT fraction can differ from the TT ranking. And sometimes there may be as little as a 0.01 difference between the second and third ranked TT horses. Something to keep an eye on when you're betting real money.

When I find only one horse fits that bill I bet him to win and three times to place. For example, $2 Win and $6 Place.

Of course a model with improve your results, but that goes without saying. And for turf you need to take a good look at SP.

I suggest you limit your testing to dirt races only with dirt pacelines, if at all possible. That will give you the most objective results.

Keep up the good work, matey (as Richie would say :>)

alydar_ David 08-26-2012 03:00 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by JimG (Post 83576)
"...Although I am sure we would agree to Let it Ride. :D

Jim

Jim, if you haven't seen it in a while, the movie is now available on Netflix.

Attachment 29911

alydar_ David 08-26-2012 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless (Post 83561)
Bill,

Not as young as I used to be

Jeff

Amen, brother :>)

Bill V. 08-26-2012 04:07 PM

DMR test race
 
2 Attachment(s)
Thanks David

Here is test race # 5 Race # 4 from Del Mar 8/26 This one is tricky because using Phase 1 I have turf, dirt and a sprint line and 6 lines to rate
I have shippers in the race

The 3 year best for 1 mile at Del Mar is 135.1

The setup times are shown

Using raw hand entered data afilling all asked questions the top 2 FW
and DR would be the :1: and :2:

Attachment 29912

Attachment 29913

Bill V. 08-26-2012 04:18 PM

DMR Tst race 5
 
1 Attachment(s)
Looks like both the raw and RDSS adjusted agree :1: :2:
although The adjusted ranks the sprinter # :9: best on DR

Attachment 29914

alydar_ David 08-26-2012 06:02 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Bill, as they say in Massachusetts, "Not too shabby."

Attachment 29920

Attachment 29921

Bill V. 08-26-2012 07:03 PM

Raw
 
Wow Raw is doing very well

Bill

Bill V. 08-26-2012 07:16 PM

consistant
 
1 Attachment(s)
I had to use 6 horses because I have to pick my pace lines 100%
consistantly if this test is going to be fair.
I feel that Phase 1 gets me the best chance to have the winner
at least in the top 5

I just want to see were the winner ranks better It does me or anybody
else very little good to do races ahead of time and not have the winner included

In the Del Mar Race 4 I had to use 6 horses
because basic Phase 1 guidelines are to use the top 5 TPR horses
and the top 2 EP and LP horses

Here is the TPR screen I can only eliminate the #5 because its not top 5
TPR and Top 2 EPR or LPR

Attachment 29924


I suppose the 3 is a none contender too being a turf horse
but I want to keep it consistant
Sorry I had to use 6 horses in this race In my day to day handicapping
this happens every now and then

Bill

alydar_ David 08-27-2012 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 83601)
I had to use 6 horses because I have to pick my pace lines 100%
consistantly if this test is going to be fair.
I feel that Phase 1 gets me the best chance to have the winner
at least in the top 5

I just want to see were the winner ranks better It does me or anybody
else very little good to do races ahead of time and not have the winner included

In the Del Mar Race 4 I had to use 6 horses
because basic Phase 1 guidelines are to use the top 5 TPR horses
and the top 2 EP and LP horses

Here is the TPR screen I can only eliminate the #5 because its not top 5
TPR and Top 2 EPR or LPR

Attachment 29924


I suppose the 3 is a none contender too being a turf horse
but I want to keep it consistant
Sorry I had to use 6 horses in this race In my day to day handicapping
this happens every now and then

Bill

No problem. Happens to me too. And with Energy! it's usually the reverse. Many times there are only three contenders. Just go with the flow and keep doing what you're doing.

And you might want to consider throwing a dollar or two on your picks. :>)


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