Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   July Contest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=107)
-   -   Pktruckdriver (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8431)

pktruckdriver 06-28-2012 10:14 PM

Pktruckdriver
 
French Bastille Day, my B-day

noddub62 06-29-2012 09:25 AM

Happy Birthday PT:)

pktruckdriver 07-01-2012 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by noddub62 (Post 80962)
Happy Birthday PT:)

Thank you,

but it is not until the 14th, French Bastille Day, I'm told

patrick

pktruckdriver 07-01-2012 11:23 PM

Woodbine July 2nd, a rare Monday Card
 
1 Attachment(s)
Race 1 25 w/p 1 and 4

The 3 while looks like the horse to beat, this time I will pass on a horse off over 300 days, can he beat me , yes, even the 1 horse looks shaky, as his last 7 races he looks like a quitter to me, I think 5 f today and with Patrick still up on him , just maybe he will finish today

pktruckdriver 07-01-2012 11:35 PM

Race 2 July 2nd
 
1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 4 and 6

Yes we have 2 favorties here the 5 and 6 horse, I am going with the 6 here, with the leading rider staying up for the ride, we may have a double for Patrick to start this day, and my 4 horse made a move last out and now this time with a little more distance, maybe this time he can get up, but I will not be surprised if the 5 runs away woith this one, and the 1 firster, well who knows, Trainer is 0 for 2, too little info to base a decision on that

pktruckdriver 07-01-2012 11:48 PM

Race 3 July 2nd
 
1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 1 and 5

Yes I know this seems to be a race where to numbers clearly point to the 5 and 6 horse, but I think either the 1 and 7 could win this at a price too, they are both coming into form and the 1 was out of class last out, but here , well maybe he could do this, the 7 works lites out , but I will go with 2 horse's with highest odds of my choices (before post-time), like Doc said go with the value, let's see if it works here, as I am going with 5 over the 6, and 1 over the 7, so

pktruckdriver 07-01-2012 11:58 PM

Race 4 July 2n
 
1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 2 and 6

I am torn up here, as each horse can stand up here and win, but I will go with recency on this track and hope I can beat the 1 and 5 who may be better horse's, just hopefully not today

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 12:13 AM

Race 5 a Maiden race with Firster's galore
 
1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 2 and 8

I am using these 2 because of the fact that from looking at the workout from all, the Firter's in this race , none of them look that good, but I can easily get burned here, as I am not sure how good the workout info is, if I were to use any Firster's it would be the 4 and 7 , but this time I will not, let's hope I am right

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 12:23 AM

Race 6
 
2 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 3 and 1/1a

I know favorites, but maybe they will go up in odds by post time, I can hope, now in here I have 2 horse's in the segement screen who are at great odds, the 2 and 4 horse, yet I also see the 5 horser as real player here, yet trusting the program makes me stay with the 3 horse, almost making me play 100 to win on him, except that is not my style of play, yet this horse would make me think about it

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 12:34 AM

Race 8 , yes , I pass Race 7
 
1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 4 and 6

Here it seems the better 2 horse's are the m/l fav's, yet I think the 1, 2 and 5 could pull this upset off easily enough, the 4 is a horse for course and distance and hard to ignore, we'll see how this runs out

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 12:40 AM

Race 9
 
2 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 4 and 9

Her I think the 1 and 5 ( a Newpace Monster) can win , but will play the 2 I chosen, why well these trainers are phenoms here, 1 of them is ITM 71%, something to notice

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 06:45 PM

2 Attachment(s)
This is my results from my 8 races played today where I think I hit 6 out fo 8 races, for about 75%, but let us evaluate it further, because I lost money.

It seems that I 800 bet and the return was only 671.25 a loss of 128.75, so what would Doc tell me to do here, quit playing the horse's or do something different, and what would it be that I should do, any idea's anyone???

rmath 07-02-2012 06:56 PM

Patrick
 
Even though you hit 75% of your bets , in my opinion there were at least 3 races you shoul have passed because the odds on both horses were to low to make a profit.
This is only my opinion.
rmath

rmath 07-02-2012 07:01 PM

Patrick
 
Patrick, even though no actual money changes hands in this contest you might want to make your plays as conditional wagers.
example 25.00 to W&p on #3 if its odds are above your minumum at 1 minute to post.

pktruckdriver 07-02-2012 07:09 PM

Well, I think that maybe I need to look for races where the odds of my top 2 horses are above 7/2 m/l, as I bet before the races run, as I bet a go to work and then come back and see what happens, sometimes they go down , and once in awhile they go up.

Another thing I can do, is only play the top odds of say my top 4 contenders, knowing that the other 2 horses my win the race, this seems wrong too.

So what to do, bet 50 place on 2 horse's maybe, or 50 to win only on 2 horse's, I like place better as I can play higher odds and maybe get 2 winners in 1 race, instead of just 1 winner a race, is this thinking wrong??



patrick

pktruckdriver 07-07-2012 07:51 PM

7/7/2012 BHP Race 9 (i hope)
 
25.00 w/p 6 and 3 horse, they are the best , more later

Game on Dude and Kettle Corn,

I'll let Richard's Kid beat me

patrick

pktruckdriver 07-10-2012 02:30 PM

1 Attachment(s)
25.00 w/p on 3 and 4

pktruckdriver 07-10-2012 03:23 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Finally a price horse, Trust in the program, pays off

Bill V. 07-10-2012 03:26 PM

Nice
 
Nice work Patrick
Way to go !

THNX for the result shot

Bill

pktruckdriver 07-11-2012 08:17 PM

1 Attachment(s)
25 w/p 4 and 5 horse

Woodbine Race 4

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 11:49 AM

Birthday plays
 
5 Attachment(s)
I will post the screen shot and then another post describing them.

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 12:24 PM

Race 1

25 w/p 6 and 4 4 is m/l 10-1

Race 2

25 w/p 5 and 4 The 2 horse are 5 points higher on Bl/Bl screen, and I
can hope 1 goes up in odds

Race 4

25 w/p 2 and 1 2 is best by alot on my seg screen, and 8-1 m/l
yes the 1 is m/l fave but the next best horse

Race 6

25 w/p 6 and 2 here is turf race with 12 runners, but I am looking at best
best DCL and LPR, which 6 and 2 are 1st and 2nd in, a model thing

Race 7

25 w/p 1 and 2 Top two horses , nothing special

Patrick

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 01:33 PM

July 14th
 
2 Attachment(s)
Belmont race 5

25 w/p 3 and 4 4 m/l 10-1

Belmont 8th

25 w/p 7 and 4 trying to beat 5 horse the m/l fav

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 01:46 PM

1 Attachment(s)
1sr few races start ok

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 06:02 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Woodbine, not a good day, but could'a been worse

pktruckdriver 07-14-2012 06:06 PM

2 Attachment(s)
belmont race 5 and 8

pktruckdriver 07-21-2012 05:13 PM

SaRATOGA RACE 9

25 W/P 2 AND 7

PATRICK



SCREENS LATER

pktruckdriver 07-22-2012 08:23 AM

2 Attachment(s)
here they are

barb craven 07-23-2012 06:39 AM

Comgratulations
 
Wow. You are doing just great Patrick. I had to tell you that. Barb

pktruckdriver 07-27-2012 12:37 PM

1 Attachment(s)
1st. Thank You Barb, I learned from some of the best.

2nd Let congrats Bill on a wonderful Month he is too far in fronnt to be caught by us mere mortals, lol, nice job!

My lasy Play this month, most likely will be this one

25 w/p 6 and 9 and hope the 4 stays out of the way


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:52 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.