Football Picks
 

Anyone want to join in on some NFL football Picking skills

Here Are my week 1 spot plays

Cowboys + 4.5
Giants -3
Rams +5
Chargers -9


Bill V
fearless

Packers offense looks awesome but defense. Needs to shape up. Glad i passed the opener

BILL

YOU PICKING AGAINST MY J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets !!!

and your from Jerzie :eek:



TRAITOR!!!!

Jets
 

Hi Mike I hope the J.E.T.S go 19-0 I love Gang Green too

I see the Jets winning the game but not covering

Same with my EAGLES

will win but game but Rams look good it will be close

Bill

How do you handicap football ????

Ernie

RDSS 3 :rolleyes:

Hat
 

Hi Ernie

Picking which helmet looks the coolest works best

Seriously The odds line is very accurate
kind of like betting the morning line

Lets say your horse is morning line 5/1
and it goes off at 9/2 or 5.50/1 how did the ml odds maker know
so well ???

The odds makers for pro football are incredibly accurate
so when you see a team is a 3 point favorite
You bet that you know better than the odds makers
and that you think the team is better or worse then they do


The J.E.T.S are the favorite by 4.5 in there game against the Cowboys

Now to win your bet you decide if the Jets will win by more than
4.5 or the Cowboys will either win the game outright or will lose the game but lose by less than 4.5 points

Thats a basic idea of betting football

Bill

Football
 

Hi

Question:

About the line what are looking for in line movement 3 points or 7 points Generally football is about totals and totals are basic arrived from points gained during the game. What is the ideal line for a game to bet on.

brings great memory. Handicapping football isn't that different from horse racing. The human element is in play as well.......
you start to handicap after 4 games into the season, 4 games are sufficient to have a pulse on the teams OFF, DEF and Spec Team. Injuries should carefullly scrutinized.
A model should be kept for the OFF, DEF and Spec Team as such:

PF=Points for
PA=Point against
YF=Yards for
YA=Yards against
FDO=First down offense
FDD=First down defense


and there are more factors like minutes, punts field goals, 2 points attempt etc...etc...

Few angles do develop during the season, the Monday night home dog was a good one, I don't know if is still in use.

One bookie doesn't help you need at least 4 of them, you need to shop around for the best line. Don't play exotics just play the line, no totals.

No final score will ever end like 14.5 to 21.5....the half point is scam...how many times you lost by half point....duh!

Remember the juice will kill you you can only win, if you are able to split the line like this:
Team A -1
Team B +3

bet both team and if Team A wins by 2 points you won both bets. In football rarely happens, but in basketball....Ca---cing

Thanks for the responses guys.,,,,,I got the idea but I think I will stick to the ponies.

Ernie

Mode
 

Yes but Ted used Canadian Football Data

Thats why I use the Lambadi Mode


Hut Hut Hike

Bill

I've got

Tampa -3
Indy +6
Clev -6
Wash +3

****This is for amusement only, no money is actually changing hands****

But much like the Pick 4 this is on a parlay ticket, and if I can't pick a horse to win ONE race then I'm donating my hypothetical money on this bet also.

Was a good game last night tho'.

Chris

9/11 1:00 ET At Baltimore -1.5 Pittsburgh 36
9/11 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -1.5 Detroit 41
9/11 1:00 ET Atlanta -2 At Chicago 40.5
9/11 1:00 ET At Kansas City -5.5 Buffalo 39.5
9/11 1:00 ET At Houston -8.5 Indianapolis 43.5
9/11 1:00 ET Philadelphia -4 At St. Louis 44
9/11 1:00 ET At Cleveland -6.5 Cincinnati 35
9/11 1:00 ET At Jacksonville -2 Tennessee 37
9/11 4:15 ET NY Giants -3 At Washington 38
9/11 4:15 ET At Arizona -6.5 Carolina 37
9/11 4:15 ET At San Francisco -5.5 Seattle 37.5
9/11 4:15 ET At San Diego -8.5 Minnesota 41.5
9/11 8:25 ET At NY Jets -5.5 Dallas 40.5



Monday Night Football Line

9/12 7:00 ET New England -7 At Miami 45.5
9/12 10:15 ET At Denver -3 Oakland 40.5



Baltimore

Tampa Bay

NY Jets

Washington

Patriots

2 Games look good to me.....
 

I will take:

Detroit and Cleveland

Lions have a great D - AND - the Brownies are looking good.

JDL

ouch!

Mr.Pagine you lost the vigorish, or simply the vig in the bookies lingo.

cdax just play for fun, and that is very good. Play for real you would have lost a bunch.

pk is still alive, he need to win 2 of the last 3 games to make some profits

BV lost the Rams needs to win the rest of his picks to make a profit.

good luck guys.

Ill see ya next week bill with my nfl pics,ill go the rest of the season if you want,all in fun and well share our ponie pics

Wait a minute did I not go 4 out of 5, to start, maybe not, yet still there is potential here within me to pick some pigskins....yes indeed.


patrick

The weekly winner is PK with 3 win and 2 losses for a winning total of $80 based on $100 bet on each game.

Picks
 

Thanks to those who jumped in
Way to go Patrick winner of week one

Thank you to Pino for keeping score
Lets get something going here its all for fun
Maybe we can get some kind of prize for the best Pigskin
Cappers here at Pacveandcap


Go J.E.T.S Giants and Eagles in 2011


Bill

jack +9/ 49ers +2.5/philly-2.5/ buff -3.5

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
9/18 1:00 ET At New Orleans -6.5 Chicago
9/18 1:00 ET At Detroit -8 Kansas City
9/18 1:00 ET At NY Jets -9 Jacksonville
9/18 1:00 ET At Buffalo -3 Oakland
9/18 1:00 ET At Washington -3.5 Arizona
9/18 1:00 ET Baltimore -6 At Tennessee
9/18 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh -14 Seattle
9/18 1:00 ET Green Bay -10 At Carolina
9/18 1:00 ET At Minnesota -3 Tampa Bay
9/18 1:00 ET Cleveland -2.5 At Indianapolis
9/18 4:05 ET Dallas -3 At San Francisco
9/18 4:15 ET Houston -3 At Miami
9/18 4:15 ET At New England -7 San Diego
9/18 4:15 ET At Denver -3.5 Cincinnati
9/18 8:25 ET Philadelphia -2.5 At Atlanta



Monday Night Football Point Spread

9/19 8:35 ET At NY Giants -6 St. Louis


Well I put up the line here, but I normally do not use the points, I just pick winners, with out the spread, but if necessary I can adjust, but these following picks are just who I think will get the W


Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Dallas
Green Bay
Miami
Tampa Bay
Buffalo
Detroit
Washington
Jets


hope this is enough, best of luck all

OK...tell your bookie that you dont want the points..

:eek:

Week 2
 

Colts + 2.5
Steelers -14
Falcons + 2.5
KC C + 8
Jags + 9

GS
Bill V.

not one fav. looked good sunday.

kc +8
jags +9
atL +2.5
tenn +6
49 ers +3

belmont sat. r3 #1 crypto kitten 3/1

pk,
need teams with the spread.

Tuesday will post a spreadsheet with the results (Wk 1 and Wk 2) based on a fictitious $100 bet.
Good luck boys

Just take the teams I posted as winners and see what happens, I am on the road headed to ND, so too much on my mind for now, but thanks GL45.

I will look more closely in the future weeks and do points, and this needs to be how many picks , as some pick 2-3 and others more, as I could do great with just 2-3, I think, points or not.

Luck All

Patrick