Match Oaklawn Park Race 8 4/3/11
 

Here is a 5.5 sprint with few Early runners, looks like a good betting race
Post time is around 4.40

40K claimers

Here are the PP's

Hope you can join in

Thanks
Bill V.
St.Lucie FL

Attachment 21510

Attachment 21511

Horse
 

3 4 5

Attachment 21512

Attachment 21513

Attachment 21514

Horse
 

6 7 8

Attachment 21515

Attachment 21516

Attachment 21517

horses
 

9 and 10


Good Skill to all

Bill

Attachment 21518

Attachment 21519

Match
 

Tandems
#1 Mister Minister/#10 Southern Vintage
3mar OP 6.0 22.5 45.6 57.7 110.3
#2 #10 Southern Vintage/#5 Perfect Drive
18Mar OP 6.0 21.7 45.1 57.7 110.3

Projected Pace and FPLR
21.7 45.1 57.7 104.1 Horse 10 Southern Vintage Line 1
adjusted to 5.5

Running Styles

H1 Mister Minister E/P 22.5 45.6
H2 Mutti Blues EARLY 21.8 44.3 long layoff from PRM
H3 Bizet E/P 22.1 44.6 Long layoff RP
H4 Lone Star Cowboy E/P 22.2 45.6 not much since layoff
H5 Perfect Drive EARLY 21.7 45.1
H6 Cainam EP 22.2 45.9 Line 6 at 5.5 PRM
H7 Bergman S/P Line 4 21.9 44.8 DEL
H8 Blushing Romeo EARLY 22.0 45.6
H9 Posse Cat SUS Line 3
H10 Southern Vintage Multi Early and S/P
outside position today line 1 and 2

APV CLASS

H1 65 1.77
H2 89 3.39
H3 74 2.09
H4 21 .70
H5 62 1.48
H6 139 3.90
H7 74 1.85
H8 67 1.06
H9 89 1.84
H10 70 2.07

5 and the 8 are EARLY Energy Runners
the 5 has much better total energy out goes the 8
and line 2 for the 5

Matching lines for the 10 line 2 has the better numbers
out goes line 1

Horse 1 and 9 are too slow even with adjustments
out

I have lines for PRM CBY DEL and OP so for all
further readouts I will use the 2 adjust
because Im not up on track to track speed ratings


The 2 should be ahead of the 5 at the MP point

at this point the 3 shows nothing more than early traffic
out

I see the race as OTE. A close finish
but I will go with the 7 and 10
7 10 6 2

GS
Bill V.
Dennys

oaklawn 8th
 

Hi,this is my first posting in a long time.

I see this race going early to the 5 or 10.

The 5 should win, since he will be further ahead early

Good morning Bill…

This is a tricky one…Not sure who is going to make the lead today. There are many E/P types. There are also multiple tracks to consider. These are not tracks that I’m as confident about how they relate when matching raw. Hopefully your 2 adjust will take care of that.

So…I’ve narrowed it down to the 5 and 10. I prefer the 10, showing last time it can run on well from a little further off the pace.

Have a good one…

FWIW,

Attachment 21538

In the Win position, I would favour the #10 and the #7.

Good luck Bill, Pete, Mark! And Mark - nice to hear from you again (Springtime in Ontario again, eh!?)

Ted

Oakland Park , Race #8 . 04.03.11
 

Race #8 ............ 9 and 10

9/10/7 exotics

Scott

Into race 7
 

No scratches track is fast for Race 8 :)

well done...win and exacta!

9 10
 

What a great race. We all had the 10 in some way but we have one nice winner
With the. 9 at 7/1. Nice work. Win and Ex Thanks everyone for joining in. I will post the result card shortly. Gs. Bill

Op
 

Result chart

The 10 could not hold on at the shorter 5.5 Distance
the 9 wins in a photo

pace of race was a fast 21.4 45.3 104.1

the Early eight set the tone

Attachment 21542

thanks
 

thanks for the "welcome back" Ted.
I think I should introduce myself to those who are interested.
My interest in the matchup started many years ago when the Hat and doc came to woodbine for a seminar.I was trained by the Parente brothers who generously shared their knowledge with a small group of handicappers at woodbine many years ago.
After spending years on Beyers, biases, trainer angles etc I commited to the visual matchup and have been studying it ever since.
I am convinced that it is the only approach that satisfactorily describes the behaviour of the herd that is a race. It is a source of great delight to me when horses fool the human centred pundits who pick by jockeys and trainers.
In any case the matchup is the only approach that has not been adopted by the mainstream and is the only game in town for those looking foor a legitimate edge.
In my experience doing the matchup is challenging. At the track I am surrounded by mainstream handicappers, and feel like the boat in a yacht race who has tacked when everyone else has jibed. I am alone seeking the wind, and hoping to arrive first at the finish line. That 4/5 favourite whose name is reverently shouted by all gets under my skin...even though my own stats show a good profit frommatchup based betting against odds on favs.

Thank you for the matchers forum, it feels like I have come to a good place. My congratulations to all of you for your attitude of mutual respect and sharing,
Mark K

Mark,

That seminar at Woodbine in 1992 was also my first live introduction to Doc, Hat, Brohamer et al. I still have my "Class of '92" pin!

Glad to have you here, and looking forward to more your matching talents.

yours,

Ted