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Live Play Churchill Mother's Day
Race 1
line 2 / horse 2 ml 3-1 bl/bl 22.5 1 line 3 / horse 3 ml 15 bl/bl 22.3 1 Horse 5 ml 5/2, favorite using lines 1 and 6 both keep it out of being a contender in this race, yet in tandems she has a win againgst others, and has major class drop here, possibly to get a check, as this horse does know how to win. So according to Doc 2 , 3 and 5 now wait for best odds to dutch bet 2 to win right now 20 mtp win bet 2 and 3 Question is this a race I should pass, I think not, if so why, please |
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Race may well have run by the time I post this, but...
Attachment 19684 I agree, 3 and 2 and I'd back the 3 with a Place wager at least. % looks opposite energy, and would make an exacta. I would not pass this race, as the bet-time odds look entirely playable, and the favourite #4 has at least some weaknesses. Let's see! Ted |
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Thanks Ted
Race 2 is a pass a bunch of FTS 2yr olds looking at breeding and trainers and works if had to play it would be the folowing horses 3 and 5 , but as mentioned this is a PASS RACE My snag it doesn't work to well I will need time top fix it and be able to post screen shots |
You have to have a fairly good hit rate to survive on 3/2 shots (net, i.e. bet 2 horses with lower odds at 3-1). Of course in this event, we were hoping for the 18-1. The 3-1 winner was close to a breakeven 'hedge' (with a little something left over for tomorrow). I would probably not bet both a 3-1 and even 4-1 top ranked. Perhaps in some kind of exacta, or trifecta - certainly in a horizontal (DD, P3, P4).
Good luck today Patrick! (I'm gone after this.) Ted |
Race 3
horse 2 seems to be a live ml fav and a horse to beat here 3 and 1 are underneath but way underneath This seems to be a another pass race as the 2 could be a key horse in exotics like pick 3 or dd, but at 7/5 ml I will pass again |
Place your bets
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Hey heads up Race 3 Belmont
Think this one is a horse that follows horses 7 places in a row? |
Race 4
2 and 6 3 and 7 also contenders I will pass this race as no value is here if one was to play , then exacta 26/2367 |
Thanks Bill
This time he won going away, I had him to the 4 and 6 in the exacta, but not the 2 as there no value there, oh well Thanks for the tip off Patrick |
Gotta love
hey Pat Crowd puts over $20,000 on #1 to place
horse wins at 4/5 |
Where else can a 2.00 player mingle with 20,000.00 players and learn from them.
RDSS, that's where. patrick |
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Race 5
3 and 4 value bets, as 1 horse has no value, but is the best horse, kinda... Possible pass race,but 9-1 and 9/2 are good odds to wager This race has no cocnsisitent pace lines, as class levels are crazy and so is the distance too, nothing really good to compare all horses with, sounds like a pass 2.00 win bets on 3 and 4 1,00 exacta 1/ 3 ,4 Patrick |
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Race 6
7 and 3 and 1 Possible Pass race, but 4-1 ml fav does have value, or am I wrong, please let me know 2.00 win bet 7 and 3 as of 20mtp 1.00 exacta 1/ 3 and 7 Patrick |
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race 7
8 and 6 2.00 win bets playable race for sure, no?? Patrick |
it seems race 8 and 9 were losers and race 10 too many mnaidens , not enough good info.
another rotten day patrick |
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