Monday, February 16, 2009
 

Weird for me to be playing on a Monday.
AQU
First race

Try as I might, I find it had to get past the favorite, #3, in the opener.

My knocks are that it was claimed for 30K last out and sat out the "in jail" period, returning at the very same asking price. It's also raced rather infrequently lately, but has been first or a close-up second in 5 of the 9 races showing.

The other knock is the odds, so this one may just be a mental bet.

Aqu.
 

Double

3.4/1.7.4


Bob

Hey folks! How's it going?

AQU R1-

The 3 is real tough, but, I will go with the 3,5 here to win. Trillian #5 got bumped at the break last time out and still rushed up and was ridden out to win. Going for a nice price!

The 4 looked good to me, but I am hesitant as I think it might want more ground. But it made a monstrous move last out after a three month vacation and I noted it at the time.

I would take the 3 at 2/1, but it's 8/5 now and likely to go lower.

Good luck!

Chalk rules the opener at the Big A but :5: could run a bit

Strange but the inner bias has returned to somewhere near normal.


Don't know what made it go away other than the new maintenance crew.

Fine by me
that was a pleasant surprise


1st race - Aqueduct - February 16, 2009
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
5 Trillian 21.00 7.40 4.50
3 Chit Chat Cat 2.90 2.40
1 I'llthinkofsumthin 5.30

$2 Exacta 5-3 52.50
$2 Trifecta 5-3-1 200.50

Word to the wise: DON'T USE PHILLY LINES FOR THIS RACE. I know it is tempting, i.e. on the Dutrow horses, but BEWARE

AQU R2- I like the 1,6 to Win right here. I hope that the odds stay decent.

Great!!!!!! hit Vin.

Aqu p4.

R2. 4.7.1

r3. 4.2.1a

r4 4.3.6

r5 3.1

Thanks a bunch Race! Sometimes (thankfully sometimes) they actually run like you have perceived that they might..:)

Thank you.

What a waste of money the FOUR is in this one. P.U. :1::2: or:5: have much better energy profiles
although the two is going backwards

NOT THAT FAR BACKWARDS.......The bias is BACK look for sprinters with an e/l around 7-10 and the ONE had the Philly confusing lines

Preaching to the choir with me. :)

I find the second race to be a bit tough, but I think the 4 is way overbet.

But something is whispering to me that I should take a shot with the 2 horse. The odds are nice and it's worth an action bet to me at that price.

You may be right about the track returning to form - six of the last ten sprints were won by either my first or second ranked EP horse.

The previous ten sprints saw only three races won by either of my top 2 EPRs.

Congrats, well done

Thanks Clore:

I hope that the trend continues and we all hit some nice prices today...

Well, I caught the second for a minor wager, but at those odds, it wiped out yesterday's losses.

Nice hit on JT Clore! $19.00 horse. Man, he was my low odds horse too... Tough race..

AQU R3- #1(A) and 4 to Win...

nice hit clore!

Another one where the chalk is really suspect IF the :2: is anywhere close to its old self this one is over
21% lifetime winner BUT claimed for 30K and no takers twice at 16K

:1a: gets the lead and stops

Thanks guys.

I needed that just for confidence sake.

I like the 6 in the third. It fits the profile and it has the third race after layoff angle.

Fairly clear race that ran to the numbers

Baby race is 2.3.4

AQU R4- 3 and 4 to Win although the #4 is a bit chalky for my taste. :)

The e/l is alive and well there today and it is always MAGNIFED in a baby contest as few real stamina horses are found there

beware the false philly lines for the two.
:5: and the improving :6: look good

well too late on that six now so two becomes the second choice by default

GLAD I PASSED ON IT

Yeah, I had that 6 going for me. Oh well, money saved.

pondering 3,4 7 at Oaklawn but no value amongst these as there was in the first race winner there

Aqu late p4.

R6. 3.1.5.
R7. 7.5
R8. 5.1
R9. 1.9

AQU R6- I like the #1 and #5 in here for the Win.

:1: :3: in the maiden contest at inner AQU

Late P4 for AQU

R6- 1-5
R7- 5-6
R8- 5
R9- 1-7

:7: looks ready to graduate in the Oaklawn third

So, you like the 7 in the seventh.
I do also, and apparently everyone else at the track does. If I can get 5/2, I'll take it.

:2: :7: in 7th

FLASH 9/2 on a maiden TWO lines better than the field at Oaklawn in the 4th a definite wager

Steadied early in last two after making a strong 2nd call move

AQU
Eighth race

Looks like I'll be passing another. Too many different tracks to consider.

I did like the 1A and the 4. I just don't trust the out-of-town lines for the latter.

I agree but :1: :4: look best e/l says five might be around early

oaklawn horse Bid Hung, okay

I might have taken 7/1 on the 5 since it had that last out win on the track. But at 7/2, it just didn't thrill me.

That horse has sure been busy changing barns.

Now the 9 in the ninth is one that I'll take at the present 7/2. But just an action bet, and a 2 dollar one at that.