Pha 1-5-09
 

hello fello wagercappers. not much today. PHA and FG. how is the weather
out there in philly? nice run by "westy". game breaker, eagles set that up all day.
Rverge aka MLcookie
ps......Dear BillV, if streelers and eagles meet in the superbowl you do know that on THAT day we will not be "paceandcap message board post buddies":)

could be a play @ pha in the first 2 races.maybe a DD. now the prices are short for a win bet on both but a dd if one can get a 4-1 or 9-2 payoff.
4-8 1st 4-5 2nd.

ok if i do bet the DD 4-8/4-5 $8. i need at least $18-24 back. if i just bet the 2 favs or a combo of a/ab ab/a then at least 14-18. if the 2 favs win then i would hope for at least 12
what da ya think?
i also think i can toss the 2 underlays and try to beat w/ 1 or 2 horses that are overlayed

8/4-5 12.80 4/4 16.40 4/5 29.60
maybe a win bet 2-11 or/and 4w/4-5 kinda of a savor bet instead of the old ex.

Hi Chef..

I hate maidens...but if i had to bet....w/p #12

reason why i picked 4-5 in 2nd

maidens are the best races around BUT this field only has a single possible FIVE

Pass

maybe i'll start betting ex,:o. the 8 dd's payoff will be better then first seen, if 4-5 hit next race.

hi mike! next race cl 5,000

hi tim,
btw pitt could be ranked #1 in roundball when polls come out later.
very early yet and i think the'll wind up 6-8

I love college sports because you never never know who will win...
That is unless you are UCLA under John Wooden

:eek: 4-4/5 too short 5-7/2 and the 1-7 #7 CE e/l graph

Hi guys

Pha 2

4 on top ( overbet according to BL odds)
5 in 2nd (value)
3 in 3rd (value)
8 in 4th (value, lone late E)

Lets see how she blows

Forgot

#8 is also joint 1st on V/DC with the chalk

Lets see how she blows

sages dream shows signs of a form reversal but this field is miserable


Samantha Mulder has a shot

1-7 win bet

on that track?

What line gives you than the 2nd and 6th???


Deceleration from routes???? come on now

dummy me had no place bet:(

Here's Pha 2 BL Tim

remember one of the good rules: if the win odds are 9/2 or higher, back it up

you very obviously do not keep a track profile for Philly


One of the MAJOR MAJOR reasons I do not use Validator is that it gives too much credit to late moves. It was an asset on grass but NOWHERE else

PHIL Race 3..

w/p on the #5

mike

mike
i like the 1-7 here. # 5 my 3rd choice although the 4 could be the big winner

:12: and ???? :5: will be out front with the :4: closing probably too late and if the :10: runs any of the races it had run, it could come late too....

Pha 3

Looking chalky, #9 stretching out after multiple poor sprint runs


2 interesting, last two poor runs were on muddy, worth a little w, p, s back on fast maybe

TIME for a three horse dutch here as they are OVERBETTING a late mover on a speed favoring race track



FOUR appears a one run closer

Big closers RARELY win at that track: LESS often in the cold

4 gets a bad start and the 10 went wide at the backstr.
we'll take 4-1

Bloodhorse.com is reporting 5 breakdowns and 3 fatalities in the opening week at the new Pro-Ride track in Arcadia.......


They don't need anymore bad publicity

DEEP closers are that way by habit: they are usually slow out of the gate


Frankly with my new betting coach's words of wisdom fresh in my mind, I have not made a wager today

Tim

I do not use a track profile because i believe the track plays little part in the outcome

I believe the Race is Pace

PHIL 4TH

#5....hope the 9 can soften up the fav

1-5-9 @ pha gota choose at least 2 of them r4 pha

do agree w/ the 9

Pha 4

5 and 4 look horses to be with according to BL (#8 is lone Late E)

Lets see how she she blows

5-9

why is the 6 at 60/1??


DEEP closer that's why

4 was ranked low for me. hope ya him charlie @ 3-1 $8+
rich on tvg also liked the 4

RDSS in Val 4 mode kicks butt in Pha 4 :)

so did the other iteration