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-   -   Saturday, October 4 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4602)

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 12:43 PM

Saturday, October 4
 
Belmont Park Changes
Saturday October 4, 2008

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Good

The weather at the Track is now: Mst Cloudy, 58

mikesal57 10-04-2008 12:50 PM

HI A D & friends..

bel 1ST...RDSS has the 2b on top...had 2 turf races pulled off since layoff..

good closer , but the jock has only 2 turf races with no wins out of 195 races this year..

i guess thats why hes 11-1

good luck
mike

clore1030 10-04-2008 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David (Post 41051)
Belmont Park Changes
Saturday October 4, 2008

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Good

The weather at the Track is now: Mst Cloudy, 58

Looking at the first race, I've got the 5 horse, Baystreet Bully on top.

The 1 horse, Munition, could be in the money at a nice price. Winless on turf though, but may be a worthy consideration for those who play exotics.

Charlie D 10-04-2008 12:53 PM

Pha 2

#9

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 12:55 PM

Hi Mike, the 2B has run well on the turf, no doubt about it. What bothers me is that the horse ran during the turf season, but not on the turf. Why?

I could make a case for at least half the field winning this race. The problem is to make a bet before the race. Hehe.

I'm betting #1 Munition at 16-1 and #4 E Z Dollar at 10-1.

mikesal57 10-04-2008 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41055)
Pha 2

#9

hi charlie..


since your looking at PHA...I like a dominate early in the 4th....#8

let me know..

mike

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 12:57 PM

Keeneland Changes
Saturday October 4, 2008

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Firm

The weather at the Track is now: Sunny, 71

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 01:00 PM

KEE 1st: #1 Light Showers to win & place

Charlie D 10-04-2008 01:03 PM

Hi Mike


#8 Communicated can wire i reckon

Don't think we'll get anywhere near 7-2 though

mikesal57 10-04-2008 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41060)
Hi Mike


#8 Communicated can wire i reckon

Don't think we'll get anywhere near 7-2 though

i know...2 damn scratches also

nice call on the 5 at bel

mikesal57 10-04-2008 01:09 PM

bel 2nd
 
pass

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 01:10 PM

Good one, clore.

Results at Belmont Park
Saturday October 4, 2008

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 5 Baystreet Bully 9.50 4.10 3.10
2nd 6 Frenchman's Cove 3.00 2.70
3rd 4 E Z Dollar 4.20
4th 8 Another Gulch

clore1030 10-04-2008 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David (Post 41063)
Good one, clore.

Results at Belmont Park
Saturday October 4, 2008

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 5 Baystreet Bully 9.50 4.10 3.10
2nd 6 Frenchman's Cove 3.00 2.70
3rd 4 E Z Dollar 4.20
4th 8 Another Gulch


Thanks David, it was a thrilling finish and then to have to survive a foul claim - I think my heart is back to normal.

I'm passing the second race. The third will likely have an odds-on favorite in the 6 horse, August Rex. Maybe I'll try a rare exacta with the 6 on top of the 7 and the 2.

Bill V. 10-04-2008 01:16 PM

Charlie
 
Nice win 5/2 on the 9 at PHA in race 2 !

Charlie D 10-04-2008 01:17 PM

Pha 3


#8 Secret Frolic

Bill V. 10-04-2008 01:19 PM

34
 
Pha race 3

3 - 4

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 01:20 PM

Results at Keeneland
Saturday October 4, 2008

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 6 French Kiss 17.80 7.60 4.00
2nd 1 Light Showers 5.80 2.40

Bill V. 10-04-2008 01:26 PM

ex
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 41067)
Pha race 3

3 - 4


Just got it in early speed looks tough at Philly
exacta saved me

Transaction Details
Date: October 4, 2008
Time: 01:17:50 PM
Transaction Number: 42907386234
Ticket ID: A428EB64F8EA
Transaction Type: Bet
Track Name: PHILLY
Race Number: 3
Stake: $1.00
Pool: Exacta
Selections: 1/3,4,6
Total Bet Amount: $3.00
Win Credit: $23.40
Location: Internet Wagering

Charlie D 10-04-2008 01:30 PM

Nicely Bill


Had #1 and #8 as my two in race

Went for Longshot

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 01:33 PM

Nice exacta payoff, Bill.

KEE 2nd: 4 and 8

Charlie D 10-04-2008 01:46 PM

Pha 4

#8 @ 2-1 is fair imo

alydar_ David 10-04-2008 01:46 PM

LRL 4th: #4 win & place

Bill V. 10-04-2008 01:47 PM

Race 4
 
Thanks Charlie and David

David your 8 at 7/2 just missed at keenland
Nice effort

Pha race 4 looks like a pass
8 and 2 both are short

Bill V. 10-04-2008 01:51 PM

Pha
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41072)
Pha 4

#8 @ 2-1 is fair imo

Nice Charlie

Thats 3 in a row # 1 FX

Date: October 4, 2008
Time: 01:41:46 PM
Transaction Number: 51508066234
Ticket ID: 88311F28F8EA
Transaction Type: Bet
Track Name: PHILLY
Race Number: 4
Stake: $4.00
Pool: Win
Selections: 8
Total Bet Amount: $4.00
Win Credit: $13.20
Location: Internet Wagering

Charlie D 10-04-2008 01:58 PM

Bel 3

Chalk and #2 New Member Exacta

Bill V. 10-04-2008 02:02 PM

Finger lakes
 
Passing race 5 at PHA

Race 3 at FL

win bets 1 and 2

Bill

Bill V. 10-04-2008 02:30 PM

Pha
 
Race 6 Philly
win bets
4 and 5

Bill

nomorebocci 10-04-2008 02:31 PM

that's my boy!
 
nice job, Bill. Let's go shopping. Love, Mom

Charlie D 10-04-2008 02:34 PM

Bel 4

Worthy fav in #10, but i like #8 Friday Meeting's price

Bill V. 10-04-2008 02:35 PM

Listen to her !!!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomorebocci (Post 41081)
nice job, Bill. Let's go shopping. Love, Mom

Hey mom
I'm on a roll
Lets see race 7
maybe I will bet your 7 in the 7th

Charlie D 10-04-2008 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 41080)
Race 6 Philly
win bets
4 and 5

Bill



I've got those two Bill, i'll go with #5 at 3-1

tfm 10-04-2008 02:36 PM

KEE R4

#4, Mesa Gold

mikesal57 10-04-2008 02:41 PM

Kee 4
 
#9...fplr

clore1030 10-04-2008 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41082)
Bel 4

Worthy fav in #10, but i like #8 Friday Meeting's price

On its BL score, and the margin over the next horse, the 10 looked to be the best bet of the day. I just wasn't taking that price and only watched the contest.

Charlie D 10-04-2008 02:47 PM

Thought 10's price was about right Charles and 8's a tad big


Thought wrong though :)

tfm 10-04-2008 02:58 PM

BEL R5

#11, Westward Go

need > 4:1

clore1030 10-04-2008 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41088)
Thought 10's price was about right Charles and 8's a tad big


Thought wrong though :)

I would have gone for it at 8/5, but it was 6/5 at 5 minutes to post and I feared it would drop to even money.

Yesterday there was a similar situation with Perfect Casting in the 8th. The horse had a BL score 7 points ahead of the next contender, but this one paid $5.90 which I was glad to take. When I get these races where the BL score is 25% or more higher than the next horse, I usually pounce unless it's 6/5 or less at 5 minutes before the start.

Bill V. 10-04-2008 03:00 PM

Fx
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 41084)
I've got those two Bill, i'll go with #5 at 3-1

Hi Charlie

I went with it looked like I was going to get a price
when the 4 dropped down to 4/5
The 5 was FX 2 so for the top 2 have swept the card

http://www.paceandcap.com/followups/fx.jpg

Charlie D 10-04-2008 03:02 PM

Thumbs up to FX inventor Bill imo

Bill V. 10-04-2008 03:04 PM

Pha
 
Race 7
win bets 5 and 7

GS
Bill


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