Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Holy Bull Grade 2 3YO (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11452)

Bill V. 02-03-2018 01:46 PM

Holy Bull Grade 2 3YO
 
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Purse $350,000

This one looks like a good race for us

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Bill V. 02-03-2018 01:48 PM

PP's
 
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Lines

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Bill V. 02-03-2018 01:49 PM

Horses
 
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5 6 7 8

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Bill V. 02-03-2018 01:50 PM

Horses
 
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9 10

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Bill V. 02-03-2018 01:52 PM

Rx 3
 
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I wil check tote near post time

as of now I will go with 4 and 1

May the 4 horse be with you

Bill

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Bill V. 02-03-2018 06:06 PM

May The 4 Horse Be With YOU
 
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woo hoo :cool:

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Mitch44 02-03-2018 06:18 PM

Just saw this Bill. Very nice pick and bet . BIG CONGRATS.


Mitch44

Lt1 02-03-2018 07:58 PM

Way to go Bill.
Tim

Mr.Pagine 02-03-2018 10:33 PM

Audible
 
Great pick, especially when the 11 was scratched.
Me thinks this colt has a big chance for the first Saturday in May!

We only get so many $8.00 wins these days. I should have backed up the truck.

Happy Punting,
Jon

RichieP 02-04-2018 07:18 AM

The "Binderator" strikes again!!! Way to go Bill nice pick!

It's all about the 4 (Karen's lucky # BTW:))

Bill V. 02-04-2018 10:30 AM

4 score and seven years ago
 
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Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP (Post 113891)
The "Binderator" strikes again!!! Way to go Bill nice pick!

It's all about the 4 (Karen's lucky # BTW:))

Thanks Richie

I will add that to my list via Karen

It's all about the 4

I love this kind of graded races , when the morning line favorite is 3/1

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You don't see that in SOCAL too much of Baffert will be bet no matter what

raceman5 02-04-2018 10:59 AM

9 horse
 
Just curious Bill why you did not give the 9 horse a line. His last line was a plus line.

Bob

Bill V. 02-04-2018 12:41 PM

Graded
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by raceman5 (Post 113895)
Just curious Bill why you did not give the 9 horse a line. His last line was a plus line.

Bob

Hi Bob

My thoughts
30/1 Morning Line
Never ran in a graded stakes
Highest race class ever, 90
Highest Sartin SR only 82

Bless and Good Skill

Bill

raceman5 02-04-2018 03:15 PM

Thanks
 
Bill, makes sense. So you are basically using FTL guidelines


Bob

Bill V. 02-05-2018 06:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by raceman5 (Post 113902)
Bill, makes sense. So you are basically using FTL guidelines


Bob

Hello Bob

Yes FTL's guidelines are a BIG part of my PACELINE and CONTENDER selection methods.

As you may know from reading the very early Follow Ups, Doc loved graphs
and pie charts

My total method could best be described using a pie chart
The biggest slice for me is believing in myself I will win this race The next big slice would be to start from the last line and take the best line of the last 3, The next big slice would be the FTL guidelines
I would use a even bigger slice for FTL's guidelines If I was nearly as good as FTL is understanding the conditions of races. This slice just gets bigger over time. I work and analyze many races everyday. I practice my understandings of conditions and ask questions after races and analyzing races done by others.
Another slice for me is analyzing the readouts,
I use TPR/Phase 1 but since my recent medical issues and the terrible
toll the medications took on my ability to stay focused and alert,
I have gone to focusing on the RX3 factor and the tote Xray readouts and modeling using the modeling tools from RDSS. The last slice of the pie is the Match Up lessons by Hat and Richie

Bless
Bill

Neil S. 02-06-2018 07:03 PM

Nice hit. I had the winner as well but did not get the Place horse as its lines were more than 90 days old. This is the kind of solid mutuel that Doc always said was the bread and butter of every wagering method because you need to consistently catch these 8 dollar winners to stay even or slightly ahead while awaiting the larger score opportunities that are rarer but out there.

Neil


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