Parx race 9 4/10/17
 

This is a tough one for me

I come up with the 3 and 10
I would love to see how you guys do
It looks like a good betting race with a 3/1 ML fav


Race 9 CL 7500 N3-L 3+F

Top 5 TPR line1. 3,10,9,5,6

Fulcrum POR EPR 92 (horse 3 )

Notes ...

Horse 1 . Hail To Rocknroll 2/42 Sustained Current form running style and lifetime record say to look elsewhere

Horse 2 , Kwik E, Presser line 2 Line 1 is a (+) Line 2 is its CL7500 2L win line

Horse 3, Whirlybird Early, Line 1 is a + line It is a win line wire to wire
against cl7500N2-L Comment says "bumped" so ratnngs might be better
with a clean trip Contender Today is a new form cycle .

Horse 4. Elita Sustained ( sprinting) Looks to be in trouble early against a 91 EPR
fulcrum

Horse 5 Hazty Daisy Early Only has 1 win so it skips the N2L condition
Line 1 is 99 days ago Form and class issues (if she runs?)

Horse 6 Bohemin Bliss Early Seems a step slow against todays fulcrum
Line 1 is a + paceline

Horse 7. House Red 2/38 Sustained Line 1 and 4 mirror each other in TPR I will use
line 4 becaue line 1 varient is 25 Booth lines are +lines

Horse 8 Miss Steffi No form. Ships from GP I know line 1 is not going o cut it
so what do I do , trust my numbers no line

Horse 9 Julies Indy 2/56 Sustained. She comes out of the same race as horse 7
she beat the 7 but this looks like the race of her life and on a slow track too
Line 1

Horse 10 Edfitatmahle's bar Presser Just won against CL7500 N2L on a sly 5.5 track Line 1


TPR Phase 1


Attachment 43213



Attachment 43202

horse
 

1, 2 3 4

Attachment 43203

Attachment 43204

Attachment 43205

Attachment 43206

horse
 

5 6 7

Attachment 43207

Attachment 43208

Attachment 43209

horse 8 9 10
 

rest

Attachment 43210

Attachment 43211

Attachment 43212

Hasy
 

Horse 5 is scratched

Contenders: 2 Kwik E - line 2
3 Whirly - line 1
6 Bohemian - line 2
10 Edfit - line 1

Using Energy ...Total Energy difference between contenders is more than 2.0,so I used 2 Adjustment...

My odds line:
3 Even
2 - 5/2
10 -4/1
6 - 5/1

I am going with the 3 and 2.

Interesting race Bill. My contenders are 2-3-6-7-10
#2 L3 ONLY 2-19 LT but 2-4 this yr with a 2nd switches to apprentice trainer 1-1 with rider.
#3 L1 WON Last matching lt best peaked?
#6 L2 Comes off 51 day l/o has run well before off l/o. NTL type expect pressure from 3.
#7 L4 Finished 3rd this level last, 2-38 lt no wins last 10 starts.
#10 L2 Won last in slop moves up te and sr #s going up. Trainer 24% with horses who won last.
I look for 3 &6 to battle on the front end with the 2,7 and 10 in the 2nd flight. I believe 3 may have peaked and 6 may need this so I'll go 2-10-6-3-7. Would add the 4 for tri & super players.
Tim G

Prxr9
 

I get the 2-3-6-10-7 in that order.
I used the lines picked by computer best of last 3
Rmath

Good luck to all.

3-4-2 small wager. Tough race
Mitch44

bet 20 each on #3 and #2 ,playing at 5/1 and 9/2 odds...2 min.to post

Hi Bill
Thanks for the 3 horse! Just startibg on match-up but with the 5 out,isn't the 3 the fplr and therefor the dominant early horse? also could you explain what constitutes a NEW FORM CYCLE?
Thanks again
Papa John

copy of my bets...

Congrats to Bill and Ray. That's what I get for getting cute since 3 was tiered #1 on BL and #2 on RX3. Had company so didn't see that 3 went off at 3-1 thought he'd be shorter. Oh well right church wrong pew.
Tim G

Nice call
 

Nice call today on this race Ray.
For me it was the only play for the day.
Bet the 2 & 3 to win.
I do not play exactas or tris at this time as my betting funds are limited.
rmath

Thanks,Tim...Playing here in Las Vegas 5 -6 days a week..Giant screens and the ability to watch the toteboard gives me enough time to make the value bets...The #6 was bet down to even money and the #10 had no betting action and went at 13-1...

Sorry I missed you Richie and I think Mitch made a win bet also.
Tim G.

Thanks rmath...I don't over handicapped or over-analyzed a playable race.I just go by my odds and bet the overlay/s.But I always remember what Doc always say,"Don't bet value for value's sake"...

Ah sin city Ray. Normally I would have seen the late odds since I watch Parx live. Can't complain thought since family always comes before the nags.
Tim G

I understand,Tim.That's what I do too when my wife calls...drop everything and go home !!!

Such a big THANK YOU
 

Hey Guys

The 3 does it !!!

Thank you so much for joining in Richard so nice to see you posting with us again, My prayers to you.

Mitch and Tim Your insight has helped me sooo much !

PapaJohn, I will work something up about form cycles,

But Ray Lopez, Man I am so envious ':cool:
You get to bet from Vegas, and use the classic thoromation
You are the man ,
Thanks guys for joining me "at the table"

Bill

Attachment 43219

It's a lot of fun to play and share ideas with great guys from the Sartin group...I would also like to add here that I do not adhere strictly to watching the tote anymore.A few months back,I was invited by a 'whale' to his house where he makes his bets.He was provided with a software called Computer Assisted Wagering,wherein he can make his bets when the betting windows closes down..I will not name who gave him this program.This is one reason when we look at the board and our horse final odds was 5-2 and yet when we look at the tote later when the race is over,our horse is now 8/5 or less...

This program gives the 'whale' a quick analysis on which bet(s) will give him maximum profit .

Bill
 

Thanks Bill.
I always enjoy playing along when the posted race is one of my playable races
races for the day.
My playing time has been cut back because of medical expenses for both my wife and myself, but eventually I will get back to playing more.
In the meantime I wish you all the best of luck and good betting skill.
Rmath