Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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tompkins 05-01-2006 02:11 PM

going the right way
 
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total energy and % median moving the right way

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:13 PM

another moving the right way
 
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total energy improving and median in the right ball park

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:15 PM

going south
 
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one of the colts considered but going the wrong way total energy,median on the rise

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:16 PM

total okay, median up
 
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this one looks a lot like Lion Heart and both ran second

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:19 PM

medain up as the distance increased
 
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looked like this one might do better later as a three year old.
Did'nt make the 9 furlong move too well.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:20 PM

compeletly the wrond direction
 
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total and median going opposite directions...median really up a lot.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:21 PM

fit the profile
 
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this one WOULD have to be a serious contender on all counts.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:22 PM

I liked this one
 
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the energy is there, but the median is going the wrong way. If you compare this one to Lawyer Ron, the latter might be in trouble total energy wise. Remember Sir Cherokee came out of the Ark Derby (injuried and did not run) with numbers around 162 and median 67.7. Smarty came out of the race with 161.95 and 67.5 for comparison.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:24 PM

seasoning
 
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total, median wrong direction

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:26 PM

only a single race
 
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questionable with only a single contest close

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:28 PM

tremendous record
 
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of all colts reviewed this one was the most consistent. EVERYTHING about these lines says monster.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:30 PM

all three against it
 
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lack seasoning, total energy median on the way up.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:49 PM

my first choice
 
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looking at it again with these parameters, I see cracks I did not see before such as the median being VERY LOW around what we see with Birdstone. Still a very good animal as subsequent races proved.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:51 PM

saarland going south
 
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median and total energy goinf the wrong way.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:53 PM

too much too soon
 
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I've been fooled many a time by one race wonders like this one. NOT THIS TIME however as the median was a clue.

tompkins 05-01-2006 02:56 PM

another one going the wrong way
 
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total energy down and median up as the distances increased.

tompkins 05-01-2006 03:00 PM

look at the improvement
 
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all within the parameters of total energy >162 median around 67.5

tompkins 05-01-2006 03:04 PM

getting better
 
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this one is a little more subtle. It really helped that this one was alone on the lead.

tompkins 05-01-2006 03:06 PM

ran 4th but qualified
 
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total energy, % median, all going the right direction. A contender anytime you see these together in the past performances fro the Derby. Only a subtle rise in % median over the average but still within range.


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