Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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Dap Daddi 04-29-2006 10:08 AM

I would probably bet "Hello" based upon the fact this is a sprint and his MED E is 68.15 with Skip being a close second with his MED E 68.09

Again this is based on the limited data you have posted.

Dap

shoeless 04-29-2006 10:37 AM

Dap,I e-mailed Purdy and with Synergism 2 he told me only pick one pace line time.He said with Synergism 1 that's when you had to average lines.Thanks for telling me who you like but I was looking more for people to anaylize the race completely and how they got to their decision.Jeff

Houndog 04-29-2006 02:23 PM

CT 7 Furlong profile
 
1 Attachment(s)
Took these from the charts from April 26-28. Did not use maiden or the highest class races.

Houndog 04-29-2006 02:24 PM

CT 7 Furlong Energy Profile
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is the energy profile for these days.

Houndog 04-29-2006 02:53 PM

CT 7 furlong comments
 
I put these here because CT runs alot of 7 furlong races that I can see. The shippers that I see winning, many are at this distance. I was only able to go back to April 22nd to get the DRF pdf charts that show where the horses last raced. Most of the shippers in this time frame were from Laurel, although one came from Philly Park, and one maiden claimer came from Penn National.

In this time frame I saw only one shipper winning at 4 1/2 furlongs. The Laurel shippers were strong at the 7 furlong distance, and less so at 6 1/2 furlongs.

shoeless 04-29-2006 03:22 PM

WOW Thanks so much Houndog for doing that it's really nice of you to do so.Yourself,Gary and Dap have really helped me me out since you came on board.I REALLY DO APPRECIATE IT.Jeff

shoeless 04-29-2006 03:24 PM

Houndog,How did you go about doing that?Gary had also told me to go back to the charts and put the horses in the program so I would know what the winner looked like.Jeff

Houndog 04-29-2006 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless
Houndog,How did you go about doing that?Gary had also told me to go back to the charts and put the horses in the program so I would know what the winner looked like.Jeff

I just got the result charts from Brisnet which shows the fractional times and the beaten lengths. As you know you have to work backwards with result charts for beaten lengths. I was just concerned with the winners, though you could do the same for place horses as well. (Anyplace you can get the result charts will do.) The DRF has them in several formats as well. Basically in the example above I had 3 days of result charts at 7 furlongs. So instead of naming horses I just used dates.

shoeless 04-29-2006 05:05 PM

Thanks again for sharing I guess that's a good way to keep an updated profile.Jeff

shoeless 04-29-2006 05:26 PM

Houndog,Are those numbers adjusted or raw?Shoe


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