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-   -   Best Play / Spot Plays - 2019 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12013)

CheckMark 01-07-2019 05:08 PM

MVR R9 #1 5th
TUP R1 #5 WON,$3.20

TODAY 1/2 50% $3.20
TODAY BP 1/1 100% $3.20
YEAR: 25/56 44.6% $104.90
YERR BP: 4/7 57.1% $20.80

I am deciding to (possibly) do only my best play but will tell you tomorrow if I will still do my spot Plays. If I do ONLY my best play, it will be like “Chalk Buster” from Brisnet.

CheckMark 01-08-2019 09:13 AM

OK, so I have decided to stop using my spot play system and go for ONLY my
***BestPlay*** for the rest of the year! Ted, if you are seeing this, can you please switch it to ***BestPlay***/Spot Play thread 2019. That way I can post my ***BestPlay*** and others can post their spot plays!


YEAR RECORD FOR BP: 4/7 57.1% $20.80

I am also including a 10 cent super play along with my ***BestPlay*** for that specific race!

CheckMark 01-08-2019 09:24 AM

1/8/19 ***BestPlay***

PRX R4 #4 Thatta Boy Girl 8/5

10 cent Super Play: 4/1,3,4,5,6,7/1,3,4,5,6,7/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8= $10.00

CheckMark 01-08-2019 03:10 PM

PRX R4 #4 2nd

10 cent Super Play missed out on a $131.96 payout! :(

YEAR BEST PLAY: 4/8 50.0% $20.80

For my ROI
HIT RATE: 50.0%
BET: $40 ($5 times 8 races=$40)
RETURN: $2=$20.80 My $5 Bets= $52.00
PROFIT: $12
ROI: Profit/Bet Total*100= $12/$40*100= 30%

Not sure if that is correct formula but I think 30% is good?

CheckMark 01-09-2019 12:13 PM

1/9/19 ***BestPlay***

TUP R7 #8 Something About Me 1/1 (Even)

10 cent Super Play: 8/1,2,3,5,8/1,2,3,5,8/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 =$6.00 :)

Ted Craven 01-09-2019 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 119018)
PRX R4 #4 2nd

10 cent Super Play missed out on a $131.96 payout! :(

YEAR BEST PLAY: 4/8 50.0% $20.80

For my ROI
HIT RATE: 50.0%
BET: $40 ($5 times 8 races=$40)
RETURN: $2=$20.80 My $5 Bets= $52.00
PROFIT: $12
ROI: Profit/Bet Total*100= $12/$40*100= 30%

Not sure if that is correct formula but I think 30% is good?


You should keep everything on the same $2 cost basis - Payoffs to $2 and Bets to $2 (not payoffs to $2 and Bets to $5 :confused:). Thus:

Cumulative Stats ($2 Win Bets):
Hit %: 50% (4/8)
Bet $: $16.00
Ret $: $20.80
Net $: $4.80
ROI%: 30%

Simple! And - congratulations Conley!

P.S. - Don't mix Win bets with other bets in your reporting. Report each Bet Type separately - e.g. Win, Exacta, Super, etc - and summarize them all periodically, to show how you're doing overall.

Ted

CheckMark 01-09-2019 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 119035)
You should keep everything on the same $2 cost basis - Payoffs to $2 and Bets to $2 (not payoffs to $2 and Bets to $5 :confused:). Thus:

Cumulative Stats ($2 Win Bets):
Hit %: 50% (4/8)
Bet $: $16.00
Ret $: $20.80
Net $: $4.80
ROI%: 30%

Simple! And - congratulations Conley!

P.S. - Don't mix Win bets with other bets in your reporting. Report each Bet Type separately (and summarize them all periodically, to show how you're doing overall).

Ted

Ted, thank you. Yes I should have put if for $2 instead of my "$5 bet". And I am not counting my supers anymore, today is the last day for doing those. From now on I will ONLY do my ***BestPlay*** along with the suggested $2 ROI summary. Hopefully positive and a good number for the rest of 2019. I am just getting started ;)

Ted Craven 01-09-2019 03:27 PM

If you can maintain ANY kind of positive ROI% over say, a couple hundred races without too serious Bankroll fluctuations - and document it well, here - you will gain serious credentials.

(And pay your way through college or anything else you choose to do ;)).

Good luck!

Ted

CheckMark 01-09-2019 08:01 PM

TUP R7 #8 2nd :mad:

Year BP: 4/9 44.4%
BET: $18
RETURN: $20.80
PROFIT: $2.80

PROFIT: 15%?

dlivery 01-10-2019 12:21 AM

Amazing
 
Your investment to risk is like the pick six.
May all of your tickets be Winners.


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