Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   2015 Matchup Challenge (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=142)
-   -   MC June 13/14 by mowens33 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10175)

Capcondo 06-14-2015 03:50 PM

I agree with Mike about the speed. The 6 and 9 are early with an assist from the 1. So, I'm looking OTE from the 3rd or 4th position. This leave me with the 8 and the 10. The 8 has shown several good positional moves.

The 8 is my choice to win the race.

Tim

lone speed 06-14-2015 04:31 PM

Grab bag race...
 
Sprints to a route and grass horses trying to establish decent synthetic dirt form:


Such is a race for a half-million dollar Oaks race restricted to Canada-bred fillies.

I do not see any dominant speed in this match-up and I evaluated London Tower as a horse who needs soft early fractions to go wire to wire. Thus, I will go OTE and go with:

#5 Brooklynsway and #10 Shez a Masterpiece

Good skills

Bill Lyster 06-14-2015 04:32 PM

I matched the 4-5-6-10 off their sprints and the 5 by far overcame the fastest fractions and noted that the 6 who broke slow won its race showing that its just not ONLY AN E type. I eliminated the 1-4-9 as earlies to cancel each other out. the 2-3 are slow, the 7 is still a maiden, the 8 can press this group.

Still I like the 5 and 6.

Hoof 11 06-14-2015 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster (Post 100476)
I matched the 4-5-6-10 off their sprints and the 5 by far overcame the fastest fractions and noted that the 6 who broke slow won its race showing that its just not ONLY AN E type. I eliminated the 1-4-9 as earlies to cancel each other out. the 2-3 are slow, the 7 is still a maiden, the 8 can press this group.

Still I like the 5 and 6.

I agree, the 1 is a "need the lead" type horse and could possibly put up faster fractions on the poly, but that is the million dollar question.

The 6 is the real deal and can win on the lead and from off the pace, Steve Owens really deserve's a win here with the hell he has gone through.

Hoof 11 06-14-2015 04:48 PM

Woodbine June 14/15

Race 10

1 – E/P ... 24.1 – 47.8 – 112.1? ... Toss (Wildcard)
2 – P ... Toss
3 – S ... Toss
4 – P ... Toss
5 – P ... Contender
6 – E ... 24.5 – 48.4 – 113.1 ... Contender
7 – S ... Toss
8 – P ... Contender
9 – E ... 24.1 – 48.6 – 112.9 ... Contender
10 – P ... Contender

Selections – 6 - 5

KBROD 06-14-2015 05:54 PM

wish i boxed ur choices hoof....they let the 9 walk

KBROD 06-14-2015 05:58 PM

i can never bet maidens 1x with winners...never mind in a stks

mowens33 06-14-2015 06:04 PM

Hoof, hope you got a little action on that 9!

Mike

KBROD 06-14-2015 06:08 PM

just noticed he was the lone e8 on bris pps

Hoof 11 06-14-2015 06:09 PM

Sad to hear Danzig Moon had to be put down, RIP buddy.

The rain creates a lot of havoc on this dead race track, but it brings some great prices but at times makes no sense.

On a happier note, i need the 6-9-3 in R11 for the P4.

R8 – 4-10-6
R9 – 10-7-12-9
R10 – 6-5-9
R11 – 6-9-3


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