Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - Wed Aqu Race 5 / Feedback needed

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)

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Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David

If #1 Booming is running then this race is a pass as far as I'm concerned. Why? Because there is no data for his third race back which is his best finish in his last three races (best in his last eight races, for that matter).

Yeah, yeah, I know it was only 5.5F, but I want to see what kind of effort he exerted in that race. He came second and it was 39 days ago. Not exactly irrelevant.

Man, I really abhor missing data. Welcome to Trackmaster.

David,

I think you might not have the updated par table for Validator which includes 5.5f AQU inner dirt. You can get it from here: www.ArtofPace.com/download/SpecValParUpd.zip There's some notes in the ZIP, but it's the CSTARP.DBF file you want to use for Val. Using that, I get the following for #1.

(It turns out it isn't TrackMaster's fault, but possibly 5.5f AQU inner dirt races weren't being run when Validator was programmed - or it was an omission - and that distance, on that surface wasn't in the software.)

Just a further note about #1, Booming Economy, 3rd line back, here's the replay: 25Feb 1AQU He closed like a freight train, but from too far back.

(Needs Internet Explorer and Windows Media Player, not Firefox)

Ted

#1 Booming's last race was completely uninspiring, even before he pulled up in the stretch: 2Apr 5AQU.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP

OK here are a set of criteria. Please look at your readouts and first identify:
1)the top 2 Epr horses.

ok now that you have them does either of them show in the top THREE of ALL the following categories:
1) LPR
2) BL/BL
3) PRIMARY LINE SCORE
4) V/DC - ( 3 screen on Spec series)

ok he has to be in top 3 of ALL the above listed categories please.

One final question. IF you have a qualifier is he 2.5 lenghts or CLOSER on the SCBL( second call beaten lenghts ) readout?

do you have a horse based on YOUR line selection that meets ALL the above criteria. If you do can you post who it is? I will do the same when I get the file later.

Richie:)

#6 Karakorum 3p, however,

1. I'm not sure that MTH line deserves no adjustment moving to AQU; at minimum, I would not hold it to it's top BL and LPR/CPR rankings.

2. I can't accept #8 Fiddler last line as representative - best, best ever, dropping from CL NW3 24 to open CL20 (?) So I used 2nd line.

3. Karakorum is slightly outside your SCBL cutoff

So, with these caveats, Karakorum most meets your filter. However, #3X Eastern Crown meets them also, if you deprecate #6's LPR off the MTH line.

Ted

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

... but possibly 5.5f AQU inner dirt races weren't being run when Validator was programmed...

By Jove, I think he's got it!

Thanks Richie and Ted for making the new table.

I appreciate your screen shots, Richie.

And Ted, that link is wonderful. It worked like a champ. Many thanks!

:>)

Something interesting to note before the scratches come.

NOBODY has the ml favorite # 2 entry ANYWHERE on readouts.

Richie
" to be aware is to be alive" - William Tomlin - Phoenix House Director -2001

Spec150, after scratches

Here's my Val3 view after scratches. Richie, #1a is the only horse that qualifies per all your requirements.