Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up
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Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Selections (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=12)
-   -   28 July 2018 SAR (Saturday) (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11732)

Jeebs 07-27-2018 08:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lythande (Post 116549)
Hey, Bill, do you have a copy of Recreational Handicapping by James Quinn? It has an interesting chapter on betting.
Hi Lythande,

I have a copy that you may borrow. However, Quinn had a site years ago that covers most of the work from Recreational Handicapping in Cliff Notes form. Here is the site as stored by Internet Archive:

https://web.archive.org/web/20040130...fpedia.com:80/

I also have Tom Ainslie’s Handicappers Handbook from the late 1960s. It’s a dated piece for sure, but racing history nonetheless.

PM me if interested in borrowing both.

partsnut 07-28-2018 01:43 PM
In response to your post.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Lythande (Post 116531)
Ok, pulled in a data file for this track and date, as it was the furthest ahead I could find for Saratoga. 11 races, 4 of them are Stakes. I'm going to try to focus on a MSW, a Claim, an ALW, and a Stakes. Here's the card:
-------------------------------------------------------------
I'll pick these races for win but only bet them if the odds meet my criteria.:D

6) 1m InnerTURF Alw87000b 3&up 14 entries...................(#4)

7) 6.5f Stakes 3yo - 7 entries
Amstrdam-G3 / Amsterdam S-G3 / purse 200k..................(#2)

8) 8f Stakes 3&up - 7 entries
AGVndbH-G1 / Alfred C. Vanderbilt - G1 / purse 350k..........(#4)

9) 1-3/8m InnerTURF Stakes 4&up - 9 entries
BwlnGrn-G2 / Bowling Green S-G2 / purse 250k..................(#6)

11) 1-1/8m TURF (F)OC80000b 3yo - 14 entries.................(#4)

Lythande 07-28-2018 01:47 PM
Race 1 - Baggins

partsnut 07-28-2018 02:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 116538)
The feature Jim Dandy is only a five horse field , There might be a price , Lets see the tote board.
Hi Bill,

If your looking at the (#3), so am I.:eek:
At 12-1 ML it's worth a win and place bet if the price is right.

Lythande 07-28-2018 02:17 PM
Race 1 - was a bust

Race 2 - Western Reserve is the favorite, not worth a win ticket.
Might box with King of New York and Poshkey

Bill V. 07-28-2018 02:46 PM
Hello
 
Hello Bill and Lythande

I just walked ( if you call hobbling off the tram walking ) into Del Mar
for a fun day, Started with donuts and coffee on donut day out on the apron

We missed the early pick 4 as the big crowd for the donuts caused a traffic
jam.

I am playing the late pick 4 which includes the Jim Dandy

Lythande 07-28-2018 02:50 PM
Race 2 - busted

I think I'm having trouble weighing all the factors and remembering all the notes I took. I'm feeling under pressure because I was still working on my template for hours this morning. Already I've seen where I need to make some adjustments. Feeling anxious and under pressure to makemy choices before the wire. Also famished. Going to name the next and then fix food. May skip a race or two to eat and try to relax. Clearly, I need to get my analyses done much, much earlier.

Race 3 - Love Nest and Gray Nile

partsnut 07-28-2018 02:50 PM
Bill,
The # 3 looks like a real Jim Dandy if the price holds up.

Bill V. 07-28-2018 03:45 PM
Price
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by partsnut (Post 116568)
Bill,
The # 3 looks like a real Jim Dandy if the price holds up.
You should get well paid if the 3 can do it .
I am not sure what to make of this horse because I don't have a line
for the Dubai 2,000.0000 race

Attachment 46651

Lythande 07-28-2018 04:01 PM
Hey, does anyone happen to know what happened to the DRF products that were carried by NYRAbets dot com? It's been a week or so since I noticed and I am still not seeing them. I wonder if they had a legal spat...


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