Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   2015 Matchup Challenge (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=142)
-   -   Matchup Challenge May 30/31 by Capcondo (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10161)

Capcondo 05-30-2015 08:39 PM

It looks like the 3 and 5 are early here. The 5 can run a 22.2 and needs a length lead. The 3 can run a 22.3 so this is going to run OTE.

1: Can run a 22.3 46.1 59.1 Not good enough. Out.
2: One fast line 3 back. Out.
4: 22.3 46.2 58.4. Out.
6: Can handle a 22.1 46.0 58.3 and handled a 22.1 6 lines back. Contender.
7: Ran well against a 22.1 46.3 58.3 5 lines back.

The 6 is OTE and has handled the fastest pace. The 6 is my choice to win the race.

lone speed 05-30-2015 08:44 PM

Really great to see so many Match-Up posters
 
At first glance, it looks like the race will run OTE but after looking closely at the #5 Benny Time...this one has raced on synthetic tracks but on the main dirt track, this one has shown blazing speed before faltering down the lane...This one is the pure speed and no one will be able to keep up with his blitzing speed and the jockey is winning at 80% rate...

Orbit has shown the best hidden energy move and should pick up the pieces should Benny Time go too fast early...

These are my two picks for this race...

Good Skills

The Pook 05-30-2015 10:14 PM

A little past my bedtime.....
 
1 Attachment(s)
but so what, one must be able to match under all conditions, and at all times!
This is certainly a challenging one, odds are all over with no clear favourite, so here goes.

Capcondo 05-30-2015 11:10 PM

Penn National #9 Chart
 
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The 2 was a late scratch at the gate. Here's the chart:

Attachment 38994

cigar 05-31-2015 10:17 AM

Prax R6
 
1 Attachment(s)
OTE
Pace: 47.2 - 113.1

Win# 7 - 8

See attached workup

mowens33 05-31-2015 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lone speed (Post 100329)
At first glance, it looks like the race will run OTE but after looking closely at the #5 Benny Time...this one has raced on synthetic tracks but on the main dirt track, this one has shown blazing speed before faltering down the lane...This one is the pure speed and no one will be able to keep up with his blitzing speed and the jockey is winning at 80% rate...

Orbit has shown the best hidden energy move and should pick up the pieces should Benny Time go too fast early...

These are my two picks for this race...

Good Skills

LS, nice call, thought the 4 would be in pace duel with the 5 (I did see the dirt speed) which would hurt his chances? Once I seen he was in good press position I knew it was over.

Mike

PeteC 05-31-2015 12:10 PM

Parx Sunday
 
I like this race to run early. The 3 comes out of a fast race fighting for multiple calls early before fading to a distant second. That pace is so much faster than any of the other locals have faced recently. The only question mark I have is the 7 horse who has run well against the 3's pace or faster. No comparable lines to compare between those two so i will take the 3 and the 7 to win.

The Pook 05-31-2015 01:24 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Looks like Pete and I are seeing eye to eye this weekend. Hopefully no more scratches.

KBROD 05-31-2015 02:35 PM

parx....i will be on the jimmys.......#3 @ #4....both have good mid and late pace #s...and i did figure for mud if it did rain

KBROD 05-31-2015 02:39 PM

was watching the penn race last night...the 2 was taking solid ex money...then he broke threw the gate without the jock....he was going to be a key pace contender, then the p horse #4 wires them


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